Predictions / Football / Sweden. Division 2 - Södra Götaland / Karlshamn vs Sölvesborg

Prediction Audit: Karlshamn vs Sölvesborg Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Karlshamn Karlshamn
Jun 12, 2026 - 17:00
0 1.25
2 1.35
xG Accuracy: 59%
Sölvesborg Sölvesborg

AI correctly predicted the Sölvesborg win.

The match finished 0–2, validating the model's directional assessment.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade A

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No No ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Sölvesborg Sölvesborg ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-2 ✖ Incorrect

Post Match Insights

What worked

  • Both Teams To Score (No) matched the full-time result
  • Under 2.5 goals aligned with the xG profile

What failed

  • Exact score: outside the model's top score bins

Market lesson

The model's directional lean matched the full-time result (Sölvesborg win 0–2).

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Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. Jun 12, 2026 · 16:59 UTC Forecast generated
    • xG · Karlshamn 1.25 — Sölvesborg 1.35
  2. Jun 12, 2026 · 17:00 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result Sölvesborg win · 0–2
  4. FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
  5. Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe
Historical Decision No Primary Bet
Outcome Validated
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Evidence ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 24, 2026 · 18:04 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1623215

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Sölvesborg win · Karlshamn 0–2 Sölvesborg
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade A

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Division 2 - Södra Götaland
  • Fixture: Karlshamn vs Sölvesborg
  • Kickoff: 2026-06-12 17:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 32.9% · Draw 29.6% · Away 37.6%
  • xG (showing): Karlshamn 1.25 — Sölvesborg 1.35 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Primary / headline line (Betting Primary Pick when shown): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 38.2% · Probability edge: +13.6 pts · Est. EV: +32.1%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 06, 2026 (UTC)

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Division 2 - Södra Götaland Division 2 - Södra Götaland — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Karlskrona 23 18 3 2 57
2 IFK Trelleborg 23 14 5 4 47
3 Oskarshamns AIK 24 14 3 7 45
4 Nosaby 24 11 6 7 39
5 Linero 23 12 2 9 38
6 Berga 23 11 4 8 37
7 Växjö Norra 24 9 8 7 35
8 Österlen 23 8 6 9 30
9 Lilla Torg 24 6 10 8 28
10 Sölvesborg 24 9 1 14 28
11 Staffanstorp United 24 6 8 10 26
12 Torns 24 7 0 17 21
13 Räppe 23 4 6 13 18
14 Karlshamn 24 4 2 18 14
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Karlskrona 23 61 20 +41 57
2 Oskarshamns AIK 24 60 30 +30 45
3 IFK Trelleborg 23 49 23 +26 47
4 Berga 23 49 36 +13 37
5 Nosaby 24 45 39 +6 39
6 Linero 23 44 39 +5 38
7 Österlen 23 37 38 -1 30
8 Staffanstorp United 24 37 41 -4 26
9 Sölvesborg 24 35 46 -11 28
10 Lilla Torg 24 33 41 -8 28
11 Växjö Norra 24 31 33 -2 35
12 Torns 24 31 66 -35 21
13 Karlshamn 24 26 60 -34 14
14 Räppe 23 25 51 -26 18
Division 2 - Södra Götaland Sweden. Division 2 - Södra Götaland Predictions