AI correctly predicted the ES Tunis win.
The match finished 1–0, validating the model's directional assessment.
Tracked markets vs full-time result
Prediction grade
F
Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✖ Incorrect
- Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
- 1X2 ES Tunis ES Tunis ✔ Correct
- Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 1-2 1-0 ✔ Correct
Post Match Insights
What worked
- Exact score 1–0 fell within the model's highlighted bins
What failed
- Both Teams To Score: model leaned BTTS Yes; match finished BTTS No
- Over / Under 2.5: model leaned Over 2.5; match finished Under 2.5 (1 goals)
Market lesson
The model's directional lean matched the full-time result (ES Tunis win 1–0).
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Prediction Timeline
How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.
-
Before kickoff Forecast generated
- xG · ES Tunis 1.49 — JS Kairouanaise 1.23
-
Jan 27, 2026 · 13:00 UTC Kickoff
-
FT Full-time result ES Tunis win · 1–0
-
FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
-
Archived Prediction review
Historical Snapshot
Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.
Historical verdict:
Observe
Historical Decision
No Primary Bet
Outcome
Validated
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability
57/100
· Moderate
- Validation: Pending
Evidence
★★★★★
- No strong statistical edge
- Market has already priced much of the edge
- Validation pending
Market Compatibility
100/100
Betting Confidence
59/100
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
Pending
AI Fair Odds
—
CLV
Pending
Final Result
ES Tunis win · ES Tunis 1–0 JS Kairouanaise
Prediction
✔ Correct
Decision Grade
F
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Review FAQ
- How accurate was the prediction?
- This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
- What does xG Accuracy measure?
- xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
- Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
- Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
- Does this improve the AI record?
- Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.
Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Ligue 1 — Standings
| # | TEAM | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Africain | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 41 |
| 2 | ES Tunis | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 40 |
| 3 | Stade Tunisien | 19 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 38 |
| 4 | CS Sfaxien | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 35 |
| 5 | US Monastirienne | 20 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 33 |
| 6 | ES Sahel | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 27 |
| 7 | ES Zarzis | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 26 |
| 8 | ES Metlaoui | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 26 |
| 9 | US Ben Guerdane | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 24 |
| 10 | AS Marsa | 20 | 7 | 1 | 12 | 22 |
| 11 | Jeunesse Sportive Omrane | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 22 |
| 12 | CA Bizertin | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 20 |
| 13 | JS Kairouanaise | 20 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 20 |
| 14 | Olympique Béja | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 18 |
| 15 | AS Gabes | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 16 |
| 16 | AS Soliman | 19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 13 |
| # | TEAM | MP | GS | GC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ES Tunis | 18 | 31 | 6 | +25 | 40 |
| 2 | CS Sfaxien | 19 | 26 | 10 | +16 | 35 |
| 3 | Club Africain | 19 | 24 | 7 | +17 | 41 |
| 4 | Stade Tunisien | 19 | 20 | 4 | +16 | 38 |
| 5 | US Monastirienne | 20 | 20 | 13 | +7 | 33 |
| 6 | ES Sahel | 20 | 19 | 17 | +2 | 27 |
| 7 | ES Zarzis | 20 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 26 |
| 8 | AS Marsa | 20 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 22 |
| 9 | US Ben Guerdane | 19 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 24 |
| 10 | Jeunesse Sportive Omrane | 19 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 22 |
| 11 | JS Kairouanaise | 20 | 13 | 30 | -17 | 20 |
| 12 | ES Metlaoui | 19 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 26 |
| 13 | CA Bizertin | 19 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 20 |
| 14 | AS Gabes | 20 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 16 |
| 15 | AS Soliman | 19 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 13 |
| 16 | Olympique Béja | 20 | 9 | 28 | -19 | 18 |
