Predictions / Football / Cyprus. 2. Division / Spartakos Kitiou vs APEA

Prediction Audit: Spartakos Kitiou vs APEA Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Feb 14, 2026 - 13:00
2 1.49
0 1.23
xG Accuracy: 62%

AI correctly predicted the Spartakos Kitiou win.

The match finished 2–0, validating the model's directional assessment.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade F

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Spartakos Kitiou Spartakos Kitiou ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 1-2 2-0 ✖ Incorrect

Post Match Insights

What failed

  • Both Teams To Score: model leaned BTTS Yes; match finished BTTS No
  • Over / Under 2.5: model leaned Over 2.5; match finished Under 2.5 (2 goals)

Market lesson

The model's directional lean matched the full-time result (Spartakos Kitiou win 2–0).

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Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. Before kickoff Forecast generated
    • xG · Spartakos Kitiou 1.49 — APEA 1.23
  2. Feb 14, 2026 · 13:00 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result Spartakos Kitiou win · 2–0
  4. FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
  5. Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe
Historical Decision No Primary Bet
Outcome Validated
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Evidence ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 30, 2026 · 23:29 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2543489

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Spartakos Kitiou win · Spartakos Kitiou 2–0 APEA
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Back to Predictions
2. Division 2. Division — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Nea Salamis 15 13 2 0 41
2 PAEEK 15 8 5 2 29
3 Doxa 15 8 3 4 27
4 Omonia 29is Maiou 15 7 5 3 26
5 Ayia Napa 15 7 5 3 26
6 Karmiotissa 15 8 3 4 24
7 ASIL Lysi 15 6 5 4 23
8 MEAP Nisou 15 6 3 6 21
9 Digenis Morphou 15 6 2 7 20
10 APEA 15 5 3 7 18
11 Halkanoras 15 5 2 8 17
12 Spartakos Kitiou 15 3 7 5 16
13 Iraklis Yerolakkou 15 2 7 6 13
14 Ethnikos Latsion 15 3 3 9 12
15 AE Zakakiou 15 2 4 9 10
16 Ahironas / Onisilos 15 1 1 13 4
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Omonia 29is Maiou 15 30 15 +15 26
2 Nea Salamis 15 27 5 +22 41
3 Karmiotissa 15 25 15 +10 24
4 PAEEK 15 23 8 +15 29
5 Digenis Morphou 15 23 18 +5 20
6 Halkanoras 15 23 26 -3 17
7 Doxa 15 21 12 +9 27
8 Ayia Napa 15 20 15 +5 26
9 APEA 15 19 23 -4 18
10 MEAP Nisou 15 18 27 -9 21
11 Spartakos Kitiou 15 15 20 -5 16
12 ASIL Lysi 15 14 13 +1 23
13 Iraklis Yerolakkou 15 11 19 -8 13
14 AE Zakakiou 15 11 23 -12 10
15 Ethnikos Latsion 15 11 28 -17 12
16 Ahironas / Onisilos 15 6 30 -24 4