Predictions / Football / Congo-DR. Ligue 1 / Lubumbashi Sport vs FC Tshikas

Prediction Audit: Lubumbashi Sport vs FC Tshikas Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Lubumbashi Sport Lubumbashi Sport
Feb 16, 2026 - 11:00
3 1.49
1 1.23
xG Accuracy: 62%
FC Tshikas FC Tshikas

AI correctly predicted the Lubumbashi Sport win.

The match finished 3–1, validating the model's directional assessment.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade A

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Lubumbashi Sport Lubumbashi Sport ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 1-2 3-1 ✖ Incorrect

Post Match Insights

What worked

  • Expected goals projected a high-scoring match (ΣxG 2.72) — 4 goals materialised
  • Both Teams To Score (Yes) matched the full-time result
  • Over 2.5 goals aligned with the xG profile

What failed

  • Exact score: outside the model's top score bins

Market lesson

The model's directional lean matched the full-time result (Lubumbashi Sport win 3–1).

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Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. Before kickoff Forecast generated
    • xG · Lubumbashi Sport 1.49 — FC Tshikas 1.23
  2. Feb 16, 2026 · 11:00 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result Lubumbashi Sport win · 3–1
  4. FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
  5. Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe
Historical Decision No Primary Bet
Outcome Validated
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Evidence ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 25, 2026 · 22:02 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1769408

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Lubumbashi Sport win · Lubumbashi Sport 3–1 FC Tshikas
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade A

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Ligue 1 Ligue 1 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Maniema Union 27 13 13 1 52
1 TP Mazembe 30 23 4 3 73
2 Vita Club 27 13 11 3 50
2 Saint Eloi Lupopo 30 19 6 5 63
3 JSK 26 13 9 4 48
3 Don Bosco 30 16 8 6 56
4 Dauphins Noirs 26 13 6 7 45
4 Simba 30 14 8 8 50
5 Céleste 26 12 8 6 44
5 CS Manika 30 12 12 6 48
6 Etoile de Kivu 26 10 6 10 36
6 Tanganyika 30 13 5 12 44
7 Motema Pembe 26 7 14 5 35
7 Lubumbashi Sport 30 11 10 9 43
8 Anges Verts 26 6 11 9 29
8 Blessing 30 11 7 12 40
9 New Jack 26 6 11 9 29
9 Sanga Balende 30 10 6 14 36
10 Rangers 27 7 8 12 29
10 Saint-Luc 30 9 8 13 35
11 FC Mk de Kinshasa 26 6 8 12 26
11 Malole 30 9 6 15 33
12 FC Renaissance 27 4 13 10 25
12 AS New Soger 30 9 6 15 33
13 Renaissance 26 4 10 12 22
13 Tshinkunku 30 7 10 13 31
14 Bukavu Dawa 26 2 8 16 14
14 Groupe Bazano 30 7 9 14 30
15 Martin Pêcheur 0 0 0 0 0
15 FC Tshikas 30 6 10 14 28
16 Panda B5 30 5 1 24 16
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 TP Mazembe 30 57 12 +45 73
2 Saint Eloi Lupopo 30 55 27 +34 63
3 Don Bosco 30 43 24 +19 56
4 Maniema Union 27 38 10 +28 52
5 Tanganyika 30 38 32 +6 44
6 Céleste 26 36 13 +23 44
7 Vita Club 27 35 13 +22 50
8 Dauphins Noirs 26 35 20 +15 45
9 Etoile de Kivu 26 34 35 -1 36
10 Malole 30 34 39 -5 33
11 Motema Pembe 26 33 25 +8 35
12 Simba 30 33 27 +6 50
13 Blessing 30 33 31 +2 40
14 JSK 26 32 16 +16 48
15 CS Manika 30 31 20 +11 48
16 AS New Soger 30 29 40 -11 33
17 Lubumbashi Sport 30 27 26 +1 43
18 Anges Verts 26 26 32 -6 29
19 Groupe Bazano 30 26 38 -12 30
20 Sanga Balende 30 25 34 -9 36
21 FC Tshikas 30 25 40 -15 28
22 Tshinkunku 30 23 41 -18 31
23 Saint-Luc 30 21 33 -12 35
24 Rangers 27 21 35 -14 29
25 FC Renaissance 27 21 40 -19 25
26 New Jack 26 20 26 -6 29
27 Panda B5 30 17 59 -42 16
28 FC Mk de Kinshasa 26 15 35 -20 26
29 Renaissance 26 14 33 -19 22
30 Bukavu Dawa 26 10 37 -27 14
31 Martin Pêcheur 0 0 0 0 0