Predictions / Football / Sweden. Elitettan / Trelleborg W vs Örebro Söder W

Prediction Audit: Trelleborg W vs Örebro Söder W Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Trelleborg W Trelleborg W
Jun 14, 2026 - 12:00
2 1.33
1 1.27
xG Accuracy: 77%
Örebro Söder W Örebro Söder W

AI correctly predicted the Trelleborg W win.

The match finished 2–1, validating the model's directional assessment.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade B-

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Trelleborg W Trelleborg W ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-1 ✔ Correct

Post Match Insights

What worked

  • Expected goals projected a high-scoring match (ΣxG 2.60) — 3 goals materialised
  • Both Teams To Score (Yes) matched the full-time result
  • Exact score 2–1 fell within the model's highlighted bins

What failed

  • Over / Under 2.5: model leaned Under 2.5; match finished Over 2.5 (3 goals)

Market lesson

The model's directional lean matched the full-time result (Trelleborg W win 2–1).

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Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. Jun 14, 2026 · 17:30 UTC Forecast generated
    • xG · Trelleborg W 1.33 — Örebro Söder W 1.27
  2. Jun 14, 2026 · 12:00 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result Trelleborg W win · 2–1
  4. FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
  5. Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe
Historical Decision No Primary Bet
Outcome Validated
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Evidence ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 04, 2026 · 15:54 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2993474

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Trelleborg W win · Trelleborg W 2–1 Örebro Söder W
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Elitettan
  • Fixture: Trelleborg W vs Örebro Söder W
  • Kickoff: 2026-06-14 12:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 45.0% · Draw 45.0% · Away 10.0%
  • xG (showing): Trelleborg W 1.33 — Örebro Söder W 1.27 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): See the Over/Under and BTTS cards for any directional lean text.
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 15, 2026 (UTC)

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Elitettan Elitettan — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Elfsborg 21 14 6 1 48
2 KIF Örebro 21 15 2 4 47
3 Göteborg 21 13 6 2 45
4 Linköping 21 13 3 5 42
5 Umeå 21 11 4 6 37
6 Trelleborg W 21 9 5 7 32
7 Husqvarna W 21 8 4 9 28
8 Jitex W 21 7 6 8 27
9 Örebro Söder W 21 7 5 9 26
10 Enskede W 21 6 4 11 22
11 Alingsås W 21 4 7 10 19
12 Gamla Upsala W 21 4 5 12 17
13 Sandviken W 21 2 5 14 11
14 Häcken II 21 2 2 17 8
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Göteborg 21 52 24 +28 45
2 KIF Örebro 21 50 25 +25 47
3 Elfsborg 21 41 12 +29 48
4 Linköping 21 39 28 +11 42
5 Umeå 21 37 24 +13 37
6 Trelleborg W 21 30 31 -1 32
7 Enskede W 21 29 39 -10 22
8 Jitex W 21 28 30 -2 27
9 Husqvarna W 21 28 32 -4 28
10 Örebro Söder W 21 26 32 -6 26
11 Gamla Upsala W 21 22 35 -13 17
12 Häcken II 21 22 45 -23 8
13 Sandviken W 21 20 56 -36 11
14 Alingsås W 21 18 29 -11 19
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