Predictions / Football / Mexico. Liga MX U21 / Atl. San Luis U21 vs Puebla U21

Prediction Audit: Atl. San Luis U21 vs Puebla U21 Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Feb 28, 2026 - 15:00
1 1.49
0 1.23
xG Accuracy: 62%

AI correctly predicted the Atl. San Luis U21 win.

The match finished 1–0, validating the model's directional assessment.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade F

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Atl. San Luis U21 Atl. San Luis U21 ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 1-2 1-0 ✔ Correct

Post Match Insights

What worked

  • Exact score 1–0 fell within the model's highlighted bins

What failed

  • Both Teams To Score: model leaned BTTS Yes; match finished BTTS No
  • Over / Under 2.5: model leaned Over 2.5; match finished Under 2.5 (1 goals)

Market lesson

The model's directional lean matched the full-time result (Atl. San Luis U21 win 1–0).

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Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. Before kickoff Forecast generated
    • xG · Atl. San Luis U21 1.49 — Puebla U21 1.23
  2. Feb 28, 2026 · 15:00 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result Atl. San Luis U21 win · 1–0
  4. FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
  5. Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe
Historical Decision No Primary Bet
Outcome Validated
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Evidence ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Prediction Time: Frozen pre-match snapshot

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Atl. San Luis U21 win · Atl. San Luis U21 1–0 Puebla U21
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Liga MX U21 Liga MX U21 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Tigres UANL U21 17 14 1 2 43
2 Pachuca U21 17 11 4 2 39
3 Santos Laguna U21 17 9 3 5 30
4 Cruz Azul U21 17 7 5 5 29
5 Toluca U21 17 6 6 5 27
6 Juarez U21 17 7 5 5 27
7 UNAM Pumas U21 17 8 2 7 27
8 Guadalajara Chivas U21 17 7 3 7 26
9 Club Tijuana U21 17 8 2 7 26
10 Club Leon U21 17 6 4 7 25
11 Puebla U21 17 5 6 6 24
12 Necaxa U21 17 4 5 8 22
13 Monterrey U21 17 4 5 8 20
14 Club America U21 17 4 7 6 20
15 Mazatlan FC U21 17 5 3 9 19
16 Atl. San Luis U21 17 6 1 10 19
17 Atlas U21 17 3 5 9 17
18 Queretaro U21 17 3 5 9 14
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Pachuca U21 17 49 22 +27 39
2 Monterrey U21 17 47 52 -5 20
3 Club Leon U21 17 42 37 +5 25
4 Toluca U21 17 40 34 +6 27
5 Cruz Azul U21 17 38 36 +2 29
6 Tigres UANL U21 17 37 16 +21 43
7 Atlas U21 17 37 45 -8 17
8 Juarez U21 17 36 39 -3 27
9 Club America U21 17 36 48 -12 20
10 Santos Laguna U21 17 35 27 +8 30
11 Necaxa U21 17 35 34 +1 22
12 Mazatlan FC U21 17 33 42 -9 19
13 UNAM Pumas U21 17 32 37 -5 27
14 Queretaro U21 17 31 48 -17 14
15 Guadalajara Chivas U21 17 30 28 +2 26
16 Puebla U21 17 29 29 0 24
17 Club Tijuana U21 17 28 30 -2 26
18 Atl. San Luis U21 17 25 36 -11 19