Predictions / Football / Norway. 3. Division - Girone 6 / Brumunddal vs Gjøvik-Lyn

Prediction Audit: Brumunddal vs Gjøvik-Lyn Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Brumunddal Brumunddal
Jun 25, 2026 - 17:30
0 1.32
3 1.28
xG Accuracy: 43%
Gjøvik-Lyn Gjøvik-Lyn

AI correctly predicted the Gjøvik-Lyn win.

The match finished 0–3, validating the model's directional assessment.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade F

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Gjøvik-Lyn Gjøvik-Lyn ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-3 ✖ Incorrect

Post Match Insights

What worked

  • Expected goals projected a high-scoring match (ΣxG 2.60) — 3 goals materialised

What failed

  • Both Teams To Score: model leaned BTTS Yes; match finished BTTS No
  • Over / Under 2.5: model leaned Under 2.5; match finished Over 2.5 (3 goals)

Market lesson

The model's directional lean matched the full-time result (Gjøvik-Lyn win 0–3).

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Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. Jun 25, 2026 · 19:27 UTC Forecast generated
    • xG · Brumunddal 1.32 — Gjøvik-Lyn 1.28
  2. Jun 25, 2026 · 17:30 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result Gjøvik-Lyn win · 0–3
  4. FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
  5. Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe
Historical Decision No Primary Bet
Outcome Validated
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Evidence ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 26, 2026 · 03:42 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1812595

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Gjøvik-Lyn win · Brumunddal 0–3 Gjøvik-Lyn
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: 3. Division - Girone 6
  • Fixture: Brumunddal vs Gjøvik-Lyn
  • Kickoff: 2026-06-25 17:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 10.0% · Draw 45.0% · Away 45.0%
  • xG (showing): Brumunddal 1.32 — Gjøvik-Lyn 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): See the Over/Under and BTTS cards for any directional lean text.
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 09, 2026 (UTC)

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3. Division - Girone 6 3. Division - Girone 6 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Lillehammer 22 17 2 3 53
2 Elverum 22 14 2 6 44
3 Råde 21 12 3 6 39
4 Gjøvik-Lyn 22 12 2 8 38
5 Drøbak / Frogn 22 10 5 7 35
6 Ørn Horten 22 10 5 7 35
7 Sandefjord II 22 10 3 9 33
8 Oppsal 22 10 3 9 33
9 Raelingen 22 9 4 9 31
10 Lyn II 21 9 3 9 30
11 Sarpsborg 08 II 22 8 4 10 28
12 Fram 22 6 5 11 23
13 Brumunddal 22 3 3 16 12
14 Bjørkelangen 22 1 0 21 3
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Lillehammer 22 83 32 +51 53
2 Råde 21 70 40 +30 39
3 Elverum 22 61 36 +25 44
4 Sandefjord II 22 54 46 +8 33
5 Drøbak / Frogn 22 50 31 +19 35
6 Sarpsborg 08 II 22 50 53 -3 28
7 Lyn II 21 47 47 0 30
8 Ørn Horten 22 44 35 +9 35
9 Oppsal 22 39 35 +4 33
10 Fram 22 39 49 -10 23
11 Raelingen 22 39 54 -15 31
12 Gjøvik-Lyn 22 36 20 +16 38
13 Brumunddal 22 25 88 -63 12
14 Bjørkelangen 22 16 87 -71 3
3. Division - Girone 6 Norway. 3. Division - Girone 6 Predictions