Prediction Audit: Bryne vs Asane Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Jun 21, 2026 - 14:00
1 1.50
0 1.10
xG Accuracy: 64%

AI correctly predicted the Bryne win.

The match finished 1–0, validating the model's directional assessment.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade B-

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Bryne Bryne ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 2-0, 0-1 1-0 ✔ Correct

Post Match Insights

What worked

  • Bryne attacking xG significantly stronger (1.50 vs 1.10)
  • Under 2.5 goals aligned with the xG profile
  • Exact score 1–0 fell within the model's highlighted bins

What failed

  • Both Teams To Score: model leaned BTTS Yes; match finished BTTS No

Market lesson

The model's directional lean matched the full-time result (Bryne win 1–0).

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Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. Jun 21, 2026 · 19:56 UTC Forecast generated
    • xG · Bryne 1.50 — Asane 1.10
  2. Jun 21, 2026 · 14:00 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result Bryne win · 1–0
  4. FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
  5. Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe
Historical Decision No Primary Bet
Outcome Validated
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Evidence ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 24, 2026 · 03:14 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1542070

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Bryne win · Bryne 1–0 Asane
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: 1. Division
  • Fixture: Bryne vs Asane
  • Kickoff: 2026-06-21 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 45.0% · Draw 45.0% · Away 10.0%
  • xG (showing): Bryne 1.5 — Asane 1.1 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): See the Over/Under and BTTS cards for any directional lean text.
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 12, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Predictions
1. Division 1. Division — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Kongsvinger 25 17 5 3 56
2 Haugesund 25 18 2 5 56
3 Stromsgodset 25 16 6 3 54
4 Stabaek 25 14 4 7 46
5 ODD Ballklubb 25 12 6 7 42
6 Bryne 25 12 2 11 38
7 hodd 25 10 4 11 34
8 Egersund 25 9 5 11 32
9 Ranheim 25 9 4 12 31
10 Lyn 25 8 4 13 28
11 Moss 25 8 4 13 28
12 Strommen 25 7 6 12 27
13 Sandnes ULF 25 7 5 13 26
14 Sogndal 24 6 5 13 23
15 Asane 25 6 5 14 23
16 Raufoss 24 6 1 17 19
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Kongsvinger 25 76 37 +39 56
2 Haugesund 25 75 40 +35 56
3 Stromsgodset 25 66 32 +34 54
4 Ranheim 25 63 64 -1 31
5 Stabaek 25 59 33 +26 46
6 ODD Ballklubb 25 52 39 +13 42
7 hodd 25 41 51 -10 34
8 Lyn 25 40 54 -14 28
9 Moss 25 40 55 -15 28
10 Strommen 25 40 57 -17 27
11 Egersund 25 39 50 -11 32
12 Sogndal 24 39 55 -16 23
13 Sandnes ULF 25 36 46 -10 26
14 Asane 25 36 54 -18 23
15 Bryne 25 34 33 +1 38
16 Raufoss 24 27 63 -36 19