AI correctly predicted the Real Madrid W win.
The match finished 2–0, validating the model's directional assessment.
Tracked markets vs full-time result
Prediction grade
F
Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✖ Incorrect
- Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
- 1X2 Real Madrid W Real Madrid W ✔ Correct
- Correct Score Insights 2-1, 1-1, 2-0, 1-0, 3-1 2-0 ✔ Correct
Post Match Insights
What worked
- Real Madrid W attacking xG significantly stronger (2.14 vs 1.16)
- Exact score 2–0 fell within the model's highlighted bins
What failed
- Both Teams To Score: model leaned BTTS Yes; match finished BTTS No
- Over / Under 2.5: model leaned Over 2.5; match finished Under 2.5 (2 goals)
Market lesson
The model's directional lean matched the full-time result (Real Madrid W win 2–0).
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Prediction Timeline
How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.
-
Before kickoff Forecast generated
- xG · Real Madrid W 2.14 — Paris FC W 1.16
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Feb 18, 2026 · 17:45 UTC Kickoff
-
FT Full-time result Real Madrid W win · 2–0
-
FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
-
Archived Prediction review
Historical Snapshot
Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.
Historical verdict:
Observe
Historical Decision
No Primary Bet
Outcome
Validated
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability
51/100
· Moderate
- Validation: Pending
- High xG deviation from league baseline (59%+)
Evidence
★★★★★
- Moderate model lean
- Market has already priced much of the edge
- Validation pending
Market Compatibility
100/100
Betting Confidence
53/100
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
Pending
AI Fair Odds
—
CLV
Pending
Final Result
Real Madrid W win · Real Madrid W 2–0 Paris FC W
Prediction
✔ Correct
Decision Grade
F
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Review FAQ
- How accurate was the prediction?
- This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
- What does xG Accuracy measure?
- xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
- Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
- Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
- Does this improve the AI record?
- Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.
Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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UEFA Champions League Women — Standings
| # | TEAM | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona W | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 |
| 2 | Lyon W | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 |
| 3 | Chelsea W | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 |
| 4 | Bayern Munich W | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 |
| 5 | Arsenal W | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 | Manchester United W | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 |
| 7 | Real Madrid W | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 |
| 8 | Juventus W | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 |
| 9 | VfL Wolfsburg W | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 |
| 10 | Paris FC W | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
| 11 | Atletico Madrid W | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 |
| 12 | OH Leuven W | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 13 | Vålerenga W | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | Roma W | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| 15 | Twente W | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 16 | SL Benfica | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| 17 | Paris Saint Germain W | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| 18 | St. Pölten W | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| # | TEAM | MP | GS | GC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona W | 6 | 20 | 3 | +17 | 16 |
| 2 | Chelsea W | 6 | 20 | 3 | +17 | 14 |
| 3 | Lyon W | 6 | 18 | 5 | +13 | 16 |
| 4 | Bayern Munich W | 6 | 14 | 13 | +1 | 13 |
| 5 | Real Madrid W | 6 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 11 |
| 6 | Juventus W | 6 | 13 | 8 | +5 | 10 |
| 7 | Atletico Madrid W | 6 | 13 | 9 | +4 | 7 |
| 8 | VfL Wolfsburg W | 6 | 13 | 10 | +3 | 9 |
| 9 | Arsenal W | 6 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 12 |
| 10 | Roma W | 6 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 4 |
| 11 | Manchester United W | 6 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 | Paris FC W | 6 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | OH Leuven W | 6 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 6 |
| 14 | Vålerenga W | 6 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 |
| 15 | Twente W | 6 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 3 |
| 16 | SL Benfica | 6 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 2 |
| 17 | Paris Saint Germain W | 6 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 2 |
| 18 | St. Pölten W | 6 | 3 | 28 | -25 | 1 |
