Predictions / Football / USA. USL Championship / Charleston Battery vs FC Tulsa

Prediction Audit: Charleston Battery vs FC Tulsa Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Charleston Battery Charleston Battery
Jun 13, 2026 - 23:30
5 1.31
1 1.29
xG Accuracy: 34%
FC Tulsa FC Tulsa

AI correctly predicted the Charleston Battery win.

The match finished 5–1, validating the model's directional assessment.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade B-

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 5-1 ✖ Incorrect

Post Match Insights

What worked

  • Expected goals projected a high-scoring match (ΣxG 2.60) — 6 goals materialised
  • Both Teams To Score (Yes) matched the full-time result

What failed

  • Over / Under 2.5: model leaned Under 2.5; match finished Over 2.5 (6 goals)
  • Exact score: outside the model's top score bins

Market lesson

The model's directional lean matched the full-time result (Charleston Battery win 5–1).

Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. Jun 13, 2026 · 23:29 UTC Forecast generated
    • xG · Charleston Battery 1.31 — FC Tulsa 1.29
  2. Jun 13, 2026 · 23:30 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result Charleston Battery win · 5–1
  4. FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
  5. Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe
Historical Decision No Primary Bet
Outcome Validated
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Evidence ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 09, 2026 · 16:12 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3448406

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Charleston Battery win · Charleston Battery 5–1 FC Tulsa
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: USL Championship
  • Fixture: Charleston Battery vs FC Tulsa
  • Kickoff: 2026-06-13 23:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 35.6% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.7%
  • xG (showing): Charleston Battery 1.31 — FC Tulsa 1.29 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 16, 2026 (UTC)

Related Predictions

See Upcoming USL Championship Matches Track Charleston Battery Next Match Prediction Track FC Tulsa Next Match Prediction View Today's Football Predictions

Get Premium Predictions for Charleston Battery & FC Tulsa!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now
Back to Predictions
USL Championship USL Championship — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Tampa Bay Rowdies 28 16 7 5 55
1 Orange County SC 16 7 7 2 28
2 Detroit City 28 14 8 6 50
2 San Antonio 16 6 7 3 25
3 Charleston Battery 28 14 5 9 47
3 New Mexico United 14 7 3 4 24
4 Rhode Island 28 12 5 11 41
4 Colorado Springs 15 6 4 5 22
5 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 28 12 5 11 41
5 FC Tulsa 14 6 4 4 22
6 Louisville City 27 11 7 9 40
6 Lexington 15 6 3 6 21
7 Hartford Athletic 28 9 13 6 40
7 Oakland Roots 16 5 6 5 21
8 Miami FC 29 9 9 11 36
8 Sacramento Republic 14 5 5 4 20
9 Indy Eleven 28 9 7 12 34
9 Phoenix Rising 16 5 5 6 20
10 Loudoun United 28 5 12 11 27
10 El Paso Locomotive 15 5 4 6 19
11 Birmingham Legion 27 5 11 11 26
11 Las Vegas Lights 15 5 3 7 18
12 Brooklyn 27 4 6 17 18
12 Monterey Bay 16 4 3 9 15
13 Sporting JAX 28 3 5 20 14
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Charleston Battery 28 53 34 +19 47
2 Tampa Bay Rowdies 28 49 26 +23 55
3 Louisville City 27 45 42 +3 40
4 Rhode Island 28 40 30 +10 41
5 Miami FC 29 38 47 -9 36
6 Birmingham Legion 27 37 43 -6 26
7 Detroit City 28 34 20 +14 50
8 Indy Eleven 28 34 36 -2 34
9 Loudoun United 28 34 45 -11 27
10 Sporting JAX 28 32 74 -42 14
11 Hartford Athletic 28 31 29 +2 40
12 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 28 30 28 +2 41
13 Brooklyn 27 27 55 -28 18
14 Colorado Springs 15 26 22 +4 22
15 Orange County SC 16 25 18 +7 28
16 El Paso Locomotive 15 25 25 0 19
17 Lexington 15 24 20 +4 21
18 Oakland Roots 16 24 24 0 21
19 Phoenix Rising 16 23 24 -1 20
20 Las Vegas Lights 15 23 26 -3 18
21 San Antonio 16 21 19 +2 25
22 New Mexico United 14 19 15 +4 24
23 FC Tulsa 14 18 16 +2 22
24 Sacramento Republic 14 16 14 +2 20
25 Monterey Bay 16 16 25 -9 15
USL Championship USA. USL Championship Predictions