Predictions / Football / Ireland. First Division / UCD vs Cobh Ramblers

Prediction Audit: UCD vs Cobh Ramblers Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

UCD UCD
Jun 26, 2026 - 18:45
2 1.30
0 1.30
xG Accuracy: 58%
Cobh Ramblers Cobh Ramblers

AI correctly predicted the UCD win.

The match finished 2–0, validating the model's directional assessment.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade B-

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 UCD UCD ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 2-0 ✖ Incorrect

Post Match Insights

What worked

  • Under 2.5 goals aligned with the xG profile

What failed

  • Both Teams To Score: model leaned BTTS Yes; match finished BTTS No
  • Exact score: outside the model's top score bins

Market lesson

The model's directional lean matched the full-time result (UCD win 2–0).

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Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. Jun 26, 2026 · 19:51 UTC Forecast generated
    • xG · UCD 1.30 — Cobh Ramblers 1.30
  2. Jun 26, 2026 · 18:45 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result UCD win · 2–0
  4. FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
  5. Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe
Historical Decision No Primary Bet
Outcome Validated
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Evidence ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 23, 2026 · 15:10 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1465392

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result UCD win · UCD 2–0 Cobh Ramblers
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: First Division
  • Fixture: UCD vs Cobh Ramblers
  • Kickoff: 2026-06-26 18:45:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 39.0% · Draw 28.8% · Away 32.2%
  • xG (showing): UCD 1.3 — Cobh Ramblers 1.3 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 13, 2026 (UTC)

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First Division First Division — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Cork City 34 22 5 7 71
2 Bray Wanderers 34 15 8 11 53
3 UCD 34 15 7 12 52
4 Cobh Ramblers 34 14 7 13 49
5 Longford Town 34 13 9 12 48
6 Kerry 34 13 9 12 48
7 Athlone Town 34 13 9 12 48
8 Wexford 34 11 8 15 41
9 Treaty United 34 9 9 16 36
10 Finn Harps 34 6 7 21 25
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Cork City 34 71 34 +37 71
2 Bray Wanderers 34 65 49 +16 53
3 UCD 34 61 48 +13 52
4 Longford Town 34 47 45 +2 48
5 Cobh Ramblers 34 46 50 -4 49
6 Kerry 34 42 40 +2 48
7 Athlone Town 34 41 40 +1 48
8 Wexford 34 40 51 -11 41
9 Treaty United 34 33 52 -19 36
10 Finn Harps 34 31 68 -37 25
First Division Ireland. First Division Predictions