Prediction Audit: Vasas Femina W vs Unirea Alba Iulia W Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Vasas Femina W

May 30, 2026 - 08:00

2 1.45

7 1.25

xG Accuracy: 18%

Unirea Alba Iulia W

The model missed the final outcome (Unirea Alba Iulia W win 2–7).

The model had projected Vasas Femina W at 41.8%, but the full-time result went the other way.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade F

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (9 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Vasas Femina W Unirea Alba Iulia W ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 0-2, 1-2, 0-3, 1-3, 0-1 2-7 ✖ Incorrect

Post Match Insights

What worked

Expected goals projected a high-scoring match (ΣxG 2.70) — 9 goals materialised
Over 2.5 goals aligned with the xG profile

What failed

Both Teams To Score: model leaned BTTS No; match finished BTTS Yes
1X2: model leaned Vasas Femina W; match finished Unirea Alba Iulia W

Market lesson

The full-time result was Unirea Alba Iulia W win 2–7, which did not match the model's pre-match lean on 1X2.

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Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

May 30, 2026 · 18:27 UTC Forecast generated
- xG · Vasas Femina W 1.45 — Unirea Alba Iulia W 1.25
May 30, 2026 · 08:00 UTC Kickoff
FT Full-time result Unirea Alba Iulia W win · 2–7
FT Prediction missed 1X2 lean did not match full-time result
Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe

Historical Decision No Primary Bet

Outcome Missed

Pre-match metrics (historical context)

Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate

Validation: Pending

Evidence ★★★★★

No strong statistical edge
Market has already priced much of the edge
Validation pending

Market Compatibility 100/100

Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 24, 2026 · 04:22 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1550524

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Unirea Alba Iulia W win · Vasas Femina W 2–7 Unirea Alba Iulia W

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?: This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?: xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?: Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?: Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Liga 1 Feminin
Fixture: Vasas Femina W vs Unirea Alba Iulia W
Kickoff: 2026-05-30 12:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
xG (showing): Vasas Femina W 1.45 — Unirea Alba Iulia W 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 27.7% · Over 2.5 72.3%); BTTS No (Yes 25.6% · No 74.4%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS No
BTTS (model): Yes 25.6% · No 74.4%
Correct score (top bin): 0-2 (8.9%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 02, 2026 (UTC)

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Liga 1 Feminin — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Farul Constanţa W	14	11	2	1	35
2	Olimpia Cluj	14	9	2	3	29
3	Csikszereda MC	14	8	4	2	28
4	SSU Poli Timişoara W	14	8	3	3	27
5	Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud	14	5	0	9	15
6	Unirea Alba Iulia W	14	3	2	9	11
7	Atletic Olimpia Gherla	14	3	1	10	10
8	Vasas Femina W	14	1	2	11	5

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Farul Constanţa W	14	43	9	+34	35
2	Olimpia Cluj	14	40	17	+23	29
3	Csikszereda MC	14	36	8	+28	28
4	SSU Poli Timişoara W	14	26	15	+11	27
5	Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud	14	24	31	-7	15
6	Atletic Olimpia Gherla	14	20	37	-17	10
7	Unirea Alba Iulia W	14	14	24	-10	11
8	Vasas Femina W	14	6	68	-62	5