Predictions / Football / Thailand. Thai League 2 / Chiangmai United vs Pattani

Prediction Audit: Chiangmai United vs Pattani Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Chiangmai United Chiangmai United
Mar 04, 2026 - 12:00
2 1.49
4 1.23
xG Accuracy: 41%
Pattani Pattani

The model missed the final outcome (Pattani win 2–4).

The model had projected Chiangmai United at 43.2%, but the full-time result went the other way.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade C

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Chiangmai United Pattani ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 1-2 2-4 ✖ Incorrect

Post Match Insights

What worked

  • Expected goals projected a high-scoring match (ΣxG 2.72) — 6 goals materialised
  • Both Teams To Score (Yes) matched the full-time result
  • Over 2.5 goals aligned with the xG profile

What failed

  • 1X2: model leaned Chiangmai United; match finished Pattani
  • Exact score: outside the model's top score bins

Market lesson

The full-time result was Pattani win 2–4, which did not match the model's pre-match lean on 1X2.

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Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. Before kickoff Forecast generated
    • xG · Chiangmai United 1.49 — Pattani 1.23
  2. Mar 04, 2026 · 12:00 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result Pattani win · 2–4
  4. FT Prediction missed 1X2 lean did not match full-time result
  5. Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe
Historical Decision No Primary Bet
Outcome Missed
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Evidence ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 23, 2026 · 15:14 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1465736

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Pattani win · Chiangmai United 2–4 Pattani
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Thai League 2 Thai League 2 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Rasi Salai United 34 20 11 3 71
2 Sisaket United 34 16 12 6 60
3 Pattani 34 16 10 8 58
4 Nong Bua Pitchaya 34 16 6 12 54
5 Police Tero 34 15 8 11 53
6 Chainat 34 12 10 12 46
7 Khon Kaen United 34 11 12 11 45
8 Mahasarakham United 34 12 9 13 45
9 Trat FC 34 12 8 14 44
10 Chiangmai United 34 14 1 19 43
11 Phrae United 34 10 13 11 43
12 Esan Pattaya 34 10 12 12 42
13 Songkhla 34 11 8 15 41
14 Chanthaburi 34 10 10 14 40
15 Nakhon Pathom 34 10 9 15 39
16 Kasetsart FC 34 9 11 14 38
17 Nakhon Si Thammarat 34 8 12 14 36
18 Bangkok 34 9 8 17 35
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Rasi Salai United 34 64 35 +29 71
2 Khon Kaen United 34 60 52 +8 45
3 Nong Bua Pitchaya 34 59 59 0 54
4 Chiangmai United 34 55 58 -3 43
5 Police Tero 34 50 44 +6 53
6 Chainat 34 50 46 +4 46
7 Sisaket United 34 49 31 +18 60
8 Pattani 34 49 45 +4 58
9 Trat FC 34 49 53 -4 44
10 Mahasarakham United 34 47 42 +5 45
11 Kasetsart FC 34 46 49 -3 38
12 Esan Pattaya 34 45 42 +3 42
13 Chanthaburi 34 44 46 -2 40
14 Phrae United 34 40 50 -10 43
15 Bangkok 34 40 56 -16 35
16 Songkhla 34 37 46 -9 41
17 Nakhon Si Thammarat 34 32 54 -22 36
18 Nakhon Pathom 34 29 37 -8 39