Tracked markets vs full-time result
Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Over / Under 2.5 — Over 2.5 (3 goals) — N/A
- Both Teams To Score — Yes — N/A
- 1X2 — USSA Vertou — N/A
- Correct Score Insights — 1-2 — N/A
Prediction Timeline
How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.
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Before kickoff Forecast generated
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Oct 18, 2025 · 16:00 UTC Kickoff
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FT Full-time result USSA Vertou win · 1–2
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Archived Prediction review
Historical Snapshot
Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.
Validation Report
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Review FAQ
- How accurate was the prediction?
- This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
- What does xG Accuracy measure?
- xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
- Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
- Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
- Does this improve the AI record?
- Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.
Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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National 3 - Group B — Standings
| # | TEAM | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Le Poiré sur Vie | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 57 |
| 2 | Ouest Tourangeau | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 56 |
| 3 | Nantes II | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 51 |
| 4 | Challans | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 46 |
| 5 | La Châtaigneraie | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 39 |
| 6 | Vendée Fontenay | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 32 |
| 7 | Les Sables | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 32 |
| 8 | Panazol | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 32 |
| 9 | Châteauroux II | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 31 |
| 10 | St-Philbert Gd Lieu | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 30 |
| 11 | USSA Vertou | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 28 |
| 11 | Les Sables-d'Olonne | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 |
| 12 | Chauvigny | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 24 |
| 13 | Angers SCO II | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 20 |
| 14 | Châtellerault | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 18 |
| # | TEAM | MP | GS | GC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Challans | 26 | 52 | 26 | +26 | 46 |
| 2 | Ouest Tourangeau | 26 | 49 | 18 | +31 | 56 |
| 3 | Le Poiré sur Vie | 26 | 45 | 24 | +21 | 57 |
| 4 | La Châtaigneraie | 26 | 40 | 43 | -3 | 39 |
| 5 | Les Sables | 26 | 39 | 40 | -1 | 32 |
| 6 | Nantes II | 26 | 37 | 20 | +17 | 51 |
| 7 | Châteauroux II | 26 | 37 | 40 | -3 | 31 |
| 8 | Panazol | 26 | 36 | 35 | +1 | 32 |
| 9 | USSA Vertou | 26 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 28 |
| 10 | St-Philbert Gd Lieu | 26 | 32 | 44 | -12 | 30 |
| 11 | Vendée Fontenay | 26 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 32 |
| 12 | Chauvigny | 26 | 30 | 42 | -12 | 24 |
| 13 | Angers SCO II | 26 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 20 |
| 14 | Châtellerault | 26 | 21 | 58 | -37 | 18 |
| 15 | Les Sables-d'Olonne | 10 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 10 |