Prediction Audit: Újezd Praha 4 vs Štětí Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Apr 18, 2026 - 08:15
2 1.45
1 1.25
xG Accuracy: 80%

AI correctly predicted the Újezd Praha 4 win.

The match finished 2–1, validating the model's directional assessment.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade A

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Újezd Praha 4 Újezd Praha 4 ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 1-2 2-1 ✔ Correct

Post Match Insights

What worked

  • Expected goals projected a high-scoring match (ΣxG 2.70) — 3 goals materialised
  • Both Teams To Score (Yes) matched the full-time result
  • Over 2.5 goals aligned with the xG profile

Market lesson

The model's directional lean matched the full-time result (Újezd Praha 4 win 2–1).

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Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. Before kickoff Forecast generated
    • xG · Újezd Praha 4 1.45 — Štětí 1.25
  2. Apr 18, 2026 · 08:15 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result Újezd Praha 4 win · 2–1
  4. FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
  5. Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe
Historical Decision No Primary Bet
Outcome Validated
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Evidence ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 27, 2026 · 19:52 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2075294

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Újezd Praha 4 win · Újezd Praha 4 2–1 Štětí
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade A

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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4. liga - Divizie B 4. liga - Divizie B — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Újezd Praha 4 29 19 5 5 62
2 Chomutov 29 18 4 7 58
3 Ostrov 29 17 4 8 55
4 Tempo Praha 29 15 8 6 53
5 Karlovy Vary 29 14 8 7 50
6 Meteor Praha 30 15 3 12 48
7 Slaný 29 14 5 10 47
8 Rapid Psáry 29 12 7 10 43
9 Baník Sokolov 29 12 4 13 40
10 Ústí nad Labem II 30 11 5 14 38
11 Štětí 29 11 4 14 37
12 Spoje Praha 29 9 8 12 35
13 Mariánské Lázně 29 8 5 16 29
14 Louny 29 7 5 17 26
15 Olympie Březová 29 6 4 19 22
16 Přední Kopanina 29 4 3 22 15
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Újezd Praha 4 29 76 43 +33 62
2 Tempo Praha 29 67 32 +35 53
3 Ústí nad Labem II 30 66 53 +13 38
4 Karlovy Vary 29 59 42 +17 50
5 Slaný 29 56 46 +10 47
6 Chomutov 29 54 32 +22 58
7 Baník Sokolov 29 54 46 +8 40
8 Meteor Praha 30 52 46 +6 48
9 Rapid Psáry 29 51 47 +4 43
10 Ostrov 29 49 34 +15 55
11 Štětí 29 49 56 -7 37
12 Mariánské Lázně 29 44 62 -18 29
13 Spoje Praha 29 41 43 -2 35
14 Olympie Březová 29 39 87 -48 22
15 Louny 29 35 71 -36 26
16 Přední Kopanina 29 32 84 -52 15