Predictions / Football / Czech-Republic. 4. liga - Divizie F / Zabreh vs Nový Jičín

Prediction Audit: Zabreh vs Nový Jičín Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Zabreh Zabreh
Jun 13, 2026 - 13:00
7 1.60
2 1.44
xG Accuracy: 19%
Nový Jičín Nový Jičín

AI correctly predicted the Zabreh win.

The match finished 7–2, validating the model's directional assessment.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade A

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (9 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Zabreh Zabreh ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 2-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-1 7-2 ✖ Incorrect

Post Match Insights

What worked

  • Expected goals projected a high-scoring match (ΣxG 3.04) — 9 goals materialised
  • Both Teams To Score (Yes) matched the full-time result
  • Over 2.5 goals aligned with the xG profile

What failed

  • Exact score: outside the model's top score bins

Market lesson

The model's directional lean matched the full-time result (Zabreh win 7–2).

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Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. Jun 13, 2026 · 19:31 UTC Forecast generated
    • xG · Zabreh 1.60 — Nový Jičín 1.44
  2. Jun 13, 2026 · 13:00 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result Zabreh win · 7–2
  4. FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
  5. Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe
Historical Decision No Primary Bet
Outcome Validated
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Evidence ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 24, 2026 · 23:21 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1656302

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Zabreh win · Zabreh 7–2 Nový Jičín
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade A

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: 4. liga - Divizie F
  • Fixture: Zabreh vs Nový Jičín
  • Kickoff: 2026-06-13 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 35.0% · Draw 35.0% · Away 30.0%
  • xG (showing): Zabreh 1.6 — Nový Jičín 1.44 (total xG ≈ 3.04)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): See the Over/Under and BTTS cards for any directional lean text.
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 02, 2026 (UTC)

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4. liga - Divizie F 4. liga - Divizie F — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Havířov 29 19 2 8 59
2 Vratimov 29 17 3 9 54
3 Bospor Bohumín 29 15 8 6 53
4 Bílovec 29 15 8 6 53
5 Stonava 29 14 6 9 48
6 Valašské Meziříčí 29 11 8 10 41
7 Zabreh 30 9 12 9 39
8 Šumperk 29 9 12 8 39
9 Opava II 30 11 5 14 38
10 Frýdlant 30 9 11 10 38
11 Jiskra Rýmařov 30 11 4 15 37
12 Petřvald na Moravě 29 9 9 11 36
13 Nový Jičín 29 8 12 9 36
14 Břidličná 30 7 10 13 31
15 Pustá Polom 29 5 9 15 24
16 Cesky Tesin 29 2 7 20 13
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Bospor Bohumín 29 76 48 +28 53
2 Havířov 29 74 36 +38 59
3 Bílovec 29 62 48 +14 53
4 Valašské Meziříčí 29 59 63 -4 41
5 Vratimov 29 54 39 +15 54
6 Stonava 29 54 44 +10 48
7 Opava II 30 52 55 -3 38
8 Petřvald na Moravě 29 49 46 +3 36
9 Zabreh 30 45 42 +3 39
10 Frýdlant 30 45 54 -9 38
11 Jiskra Rýmařov 30 45 58 -13 37
12 Šumperk 29 36 38 -2 39
13 Pustá Polom 29 36 59 -23 24
14 Nový Jičín 29 35 40 -5 36
15 Břidličná 30 34 46 -12 31
16 Cesky Tesin 29 23 64 -41 13
4. liga - Divizie F Czech-Republic. 4. liga - Divizie F Predictions