AI correctly predicted the Kustosija win.
The match finished 3–0, validating the model's directional assessment.
Tracked markets vs full-time result
Prediction grade
B-
Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✔ Correct
- Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
- 1X2 Kustosija Kustosija ✔ Correct
- Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 1-2 3-0 ✖ Incorrect
Post Match Insights
What worked
- Expected goals projected a high-scoring match (ΣxG 2.72) — 3 goals materialised
- Over 2.5 goals aligned with the xG profile
What failed
- Both Teams To Score: model leaned BTTS Yes; match finished BTTS No
- Exact score: outside the model's top score bins
Market lesson
The model's directional lean matched the full-time result (Kustosija win 3–0).
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Prediction Timeline
How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.
-
Before kickoff Forecast generated
- xG · Kustosija 1.49 — Solin 1.23
-
Mar 10, 2026 · 14:00 UTC Kickoff
-
FT Full-time result Kustosija win · 3–0
-
FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
-
Archived Prediction review
Historical Snapshot
Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.
Historical verdict:
Observe
Historical Decision
No Primary Bet
Outcome
Validated
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability
57/100
· Moderate
- Validation: Pending
Evidence
★★★★★
- No strong statistical edge
- Market has already priced much of the edge
- Validation pending
Market Compatibility
100/100
Betting Confidence
59/100
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
Pending
AI Fair Odds
—
CLV
Pending
Final Result
Kustosija win · Kustosija 3–0 Solin
Prediction
✔ Correct
Decision Grade
B-
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Review FAQ
- How accurate was the prediction?
- This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
- What does xG Accuracy measure?
- xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
- Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
- Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
- Does this improve the AI record?
- Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.
Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Second NL — Standings
| # | TEAM | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Segesta Sisak | 22 | 16 | 1 | 5 | 49 |
| 2 | Kustosija | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 44 |
| 3 | Uljanik | 22 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 41 |
| 4 | Uskok Klis | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 40 |
| 5 | Križevci | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 40 |
| 6 | Jadran LP | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 39 |
| 7 | Mladost Ždralovi | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 39 |
| 8 | Solin | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 37 |
| 9 | Lucko | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 24 |
| 10 | Varteks Varaždin | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 23 |
| 11 | Bjelovar | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 23 |
| 12 | Dakovo-Croatia | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 21 |
| 13 | Grobničan Čavle | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 20 |
| 14 | Trnje | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 20 |
| 15 | Dugo Selo | 22 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 14 |
| 16 | Hrvatski Dragovoljac | 22 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 14 |
| # | TEAM | MP | GS | GC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Segesta Sisak | 22 | 43 | 24 | +19 | 49 |
| 2 | Kustosija | 22 | 40 | 17 | +23 | 44 |
| 3 | Uskok Klis | 22 | 37 | 20 | +17 | 40 |
| 4 | Uljanik | 22 | 37 | 26 | +11 | 41 |
| 5 | Jadran LP | 22 | 36 | 24 | +12 | 39 |
| 6 | Križevci | 22 | 33 | 18 | +15 | 40 |
| 7 | Mladost Ždralovi | 22 | 32 | 24 | +8 | 39 |
| 8 | Solin | 22 | 32 | 27 | +5 | 37 |
| 9 | Grobničan Čavle | 22 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 20 |
| 10 | Trnje | 22 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 20 |
| 11 | Lucko | 22 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 24 |
| 12 | Varteks Varaždin | 22 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 23 |
| 13 | Dakovo-Croatia | 22 | 24 | 35 | -11 | 21 |
| 14 | Bjelovar | 22 | 22 | 34 | -12 | 23 |
| 15 | Hrvatski Dragovoljac | 22 | 17 | 41 | -24 | 14 |
| 16 | Dugo Selo | 22 | 14 | 34 | -20 | 14 |
