Predictions / Football / Poland. Central Youth League / Lechia Gdańsk U19 vs Miedź Legnica U19

Prediction Audit: Lechia Gdańsk U19 vs Miedź Legnica U19 Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Lechia Gdańsk U19 Lechia Gdańsk U19
May 31, 2026 - 13:00
1 1.45
2 1.25
xG Accuracy: 72%
Miedź Legnica U19 Miedź Legnica U19

The model missed the final outcome (Miedź Legnica U19 win 1–2).

The model had projected Lechia Gdańsk U19 at 41.8%, but the full-time result went the other way.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade C

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Lechia Gdańsk U19 Miedź Legnica U19 ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-2, 1-1, 2-2, 2-1, 1-3 1-2 ✔ Correct

Post Match Insights

What worked

  • Expected goals projected a high-scoring match (ΣxG 2.70) — 3 goals materialised
  • Both Teams To Score (Yes) matched the full-time result
  • Over 2.5 goals aligned with the xG profile

What failed

  • 1X2: model leaned Lechia Gdańsk U19; match finished Miedź Legnica U19

Market lesson

The full-time result was Miedź Legnica U19 win 1–2, which did not match the model's pre-match lean on 1X2.

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Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. May 30, 2026 · 18:15 UTC Forecast generated
    • xG · Lechia Gdańsk U19 1.45 — Miedź Legnica U19 1.25
  2. May 31, 2026 · 13:00 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result Miedź Legnica U19 win · 1–2
  4. FT Prediction missed 1X2 lean did not match full-time result
  5. Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe
Historical Decision No Primary Bet
Outcome Missed
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Evidence ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 21, 2026 · 06:55 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10144378

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Miedź Legnica U19 win · Lechia Gdańsk U19 1–2 Miedź Legnica U19
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Central Youth League
  • Fixture: Lechia Gdańsk U19 vs Miedź Legnica U19
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-30 10:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
  • xG (showing): Lechia Gdańsk U19 1.45 — Miedź Legnica U19 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 28.5% · Over 2.5 71.5%); BTTS Yes (Yes 64.2% · No 35.8%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 64.2% · No 35.8%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-2 (8.9%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 03, 2026 (UTC)

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Central Youth League Central Youth League — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Legia Warszawa U19 30 21 4 5 67
2 Górnik Zabrze U19 30 18 5 7 59
3 Lech Poznań U19 30 17 6 7 57
4 Miedź Legnica U19 30 16 6 8 54
5 Polonia Warszawa U19 30 15 6 9 51
6 Zagłębie Lubin U19 30 16 3 11 51
7 Escola Varsovia U19 30 14 6 10 48
8 Śląsk Wrocław U19 30 11 9 10 42
9 Wisła Kraków U19 30 13 2 15 41
10 Stal Rzeszów U19 30 11 6 13 39
11 Jagiellonia U19 30 11 4 15 37
12 Arkonia U19 30 9 7 14 34
13 Znicz Pruszków U19 30 9 5 16 32
14 Lechia Gdańsk U19 30 7 4 19 25
15 Resovia U19 30 5 9 16 24
16 Odra Opole U19 30 5 2 23 17
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Legia Warszawa U19 30 86 39 +47 67
2 Lech Poznań U19 30 74 51 +23 57
3 Górnik Zabrze U19 30 68 47 +21 59
4 Escola Varsovia U19 30 66 61 +5 48
5 Jagiellonia U19 30 62 62 0 37
6 Miedź Legnica U19 30 61 43 +18 54
7 Zagłębie Lubin U19 30 55 48 +7 51
8 Śląsk Wrocław U19 30 55 54 +1 42
9 Polonia Warszawa U19 30 54 37 +17 51
10 Wisła Kraków U19 30 52 58 -6 41
11 Lechia Gdańsk U19 30 50 68 -18 25
12 Stal Rzeszów U19 30 40 45 -5 39
13 Arkonia U19 30 40 50 -10 34
14 Znicz Pruszków U19 30 34 48 -14 32
15 Odra Opole U19 30 31 84 -53 17
16 Resovia U19 30 27 60 -33 24
Central Youth League Poland. Central Youth League Predictions