Tracked markets vs full-time result
Prediction grade
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Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Over / Under 2.5 — Under 2.5 (1 goals) — N/A
- Both Teams To Score — No — N/A
- 1X2 — Atenas — N/A
- Correct Score Insights — 0-1 — N/A
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Prediction Timeline
How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.
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Before kickoff Forecast generated
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Oct 06, 2025 · 01:00 UTC Kickoff
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FT Full-time result Atenas win · 0–1
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Archived Prediction review
Historical Snapshot
Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.
Historical verdict:
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Validation Report
Closing Odds
Pending
AI Fair Odds
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CLV
Pending
Final Result
Atenas win · Central Espanol 0–1 Atenas
Prediction
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Decision Grade
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Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Review FAQ
- How accurate was the prediction?
- This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
- What does xG Accuracy measure?
- xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
- Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
- Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
- Does this improve the AI record?
- Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.
Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Segunda División — Standings
| # | TEAM | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Albion FC | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 50 |
| 2 | Colón | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 47 |
| 3 | Central Espanol | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 46 |
| 4 | Atenas | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 44 |
| 5 | Deportivo Maldonado | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 40 |
| 6 | Oriental | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 38 |
| 7 | Tacuarembo | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 37 |
| 8 | Fenix | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 37 |
| 9 | Rentistas | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 36 |
| 10 | La Luz | 26 | 5 | 12 | 9 | 27 |
| 11 | Rampla Juniors | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 26 |
| 12 | Cerrito | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 23 |
| 13 | Artigas | 25 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 22 |
| 14 | Uruguay Montevideo | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 17 |
| # | TEAM | MP | GS | GC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atenas | 26 | 35 | 23 | +12 | 44 |
| 2 | Albion FC | 26 | 33 | 17 | +16 | 50 |
| 3 | Rentistas | 26 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 36 |
| 4 | Colón | 26 | 32 | 17 | +15 | 47 |
| 5 | Oriental | 26 | 32 | 29 | +3 | 38 |
| 6 | Deportivo Maldonado | 26 | 31 | 21 | +10 | 40 |
| 7 | Fenix | 26 | 31 | 30 | +1 | 37 |
| 8 | Central Espanol | 26 | 29 | 16 | +13 | 46 |
| 9 | Tacuarembo | 26 | 28 | 25 | +3 | 37 |
| 10 | Artigas | 25 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 22 |
| 11 | La Luz | 26 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 27 |
| 12 | Rampla Juniors | 25 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 26 |
| 13 | Cerrito | 26 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 23 |
| 14 | Uruguay Montevideo | 26 | 16 | 44 | -28 | 17 |
