Prediction Audit: Hallam vs Redcar Athletic Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Jan 24, 2026 - 15:00
0 1.49
1 1.23
xG Accuracy: 62%

The model missed the final outcome (Redcar Athletic win 0–1).

The model had projected Hallam at 43.2%, but the full-time result went the other way.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade F

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Hallam Redcar Athletic ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 1-2 0-1 ✔ Correct

Post Match Insights

What worked

  • Exact score 0–1 fell within the model's highlighted bins

What failed

  • Both Teams To Score: model leaned BTTS Yes; match finished BTTS No
  • Over / Under 2.5: model leaned Over 2.5; match finished Under 2.5 (1 goals)

Market lesson

The full-time result was Redcar Athletic win 0–1, which did not match the model's pre-match lean on 1X2.

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Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. Before kickoff Forecast generated
    • xG · Hallam 1.49 — Redcar Athletic 1.23
  2. Jan 24, 2026 · 15:00 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result Redcar Athletic win · 0–1
  4. FT Prediction missed 1X2 lean did not match full-time result
  5. Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe
Historical Decision No Primary Bet
Outcome Missed
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Evidence ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 05, 2026 · 21:23 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3075990

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Redcar Athletic win · Hallam 0–1 Redcar Athletic
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Non League Div One - Northern East Non League Div One - Northern East — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Redcar Athletic 42 33 6 3 105
2 Matlock Town 42 28 4 10 88
3 AFC Emley 42 22 11 9 77
4 Dunston UTS 42 22 10 10 76
5 Bradford (Park Avenue) 42 21 12 9 75
6 Pontefract Collieries 42 21 11 10 74
7 Heaton Stannington 42 17 10 15 61
8 Bridlington Town 42 16 11 15 59
9 Garforth Town 42 16 10 16 58
10 Consett 42 16 10 16 58
11 North Ferriby 42 13 19 10 58
12 Hallam 42 13 14 15 53
13 Lincoln United 42 14 11 17 53
14 Ashington AFC 42 14 9 19 51
15 Grimsby Borough 42 13 10 19 49
16 Blyth Spartans 42 13 8 21 47
17 Silsden 42 10 14 18 44
18 Ossett United 42 10 12 20 42
19 Bishop Auckland 42 12 5 25 41
20 Blyth Town 42 12 5 25 41
21 Newton Aycliffe 42 9 9 24 36
22 Brighouse Town 42 8 7 27 31
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Redcar Athletic 42 140 38 +102 105
2 Matlock Town 42 102 53 +49 88
3 Pontefract Collieries 42 76 62 +14 74
4 Consett 42 74 66 +8 58
5 Bridlington Town 42 71 63 +8 59
6 Dunston UTS 42 70 51 +19 76
7 AFC Emley 42 68 31 +37 77
8 Bradford (Park Avenue) 42 67 34 +33 75
9 Garforth Town 42 66 51 +15 58
10 Heaton Stannington 42 55 53 +2 61
11 North Ferriby 42 54 47 +7 58
12 Bishop Auckland 42 52 79 -27 41
13 Hallam 42 50 57 -7 53
14 Ossett United 42 50 63 -13 42
15 Lincoln United 42 49 69 -20 53
16 Newton Aycliffe 42 49 86 -37 36
17 Silsden 42 48 70 -22 44
18 Blyth Spartans 42 47 53 -6 47
19 Ashington AFC 42 45 77 -32 51
20 Blyth Town 42 42 76 -34 41
21 Grimsby Borough 42 41 70 -29 49
22 Brighouse Town 42 31 98 -67 31