Predictions / Football / Slovenia. 3. SNL - West / Izola vs Bistrc

Prediction Audit: Izola vs Bistrc Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Izola Izola
May 02, 2026 - 15:00
5 1.45
0 1.25
xG Accuracy: 27%
Bistrc Bistrc

AI correctly predicted the Izola win.

The match finished 5–0, validating the model's directional assessment.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade B-

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Izola Izola ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 1-2 5-0 ✖ Incorrect

Post Match Insights

What worked

  • Expected goals projected a high-scoring match (ΣxG 2.70) — 5 goals materialised
  • Over 2.5 goals aligned with the xG profile

What failed

  • Both Teams To Score: model leaned BTTS Yes; match finished BTTS No
  • Exact score: outside the model's top score bins

Market lesson

The model's directional lean matched the full-time result (Izola win 5–0).

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Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. Before kickoff Forecast generated
    • xG · Izola 1.45 — Bistrc 1.25
  2. May 02, 2026 · 15:00 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result Izola win · 5–0
  4. FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
  5. Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe
Historical Decision No Primary Bet
Outcome Validated
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Evidence ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 23, 2026 · 18:10 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1482698

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Izola win · Izola 5–0 Bistrc
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Related Predictions

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3. SNL - West 3. SNL - West — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Dob 26 16 8 2 56
2 Jesenice 26 14 7 5 49
3 Izola 26 14 5 7 47
4 Vipava 26 13 4 9 43
5 Dren Vrhnika 26 12 6 8 42
6 Šobec Lesce 26 11 8 7 41
7 Škofja Loka 26 11 8 7 41
8 Svoboda 26 12 4 10 40
9 Rudar Trbovlje 26 9 7 10 34
10 Šencur 26 10 2 14 32
11 Žiri 26 8 4 14 28
12 Bistrc 26 7 4 15 25
13 Adria 26 6 4 16 22
14 Kranj 26 3 1 22 10
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Dob 26 56 21 +35 56
2 Svoboda 26 56 36 +20 40
3 Rudar Trbovlje 26 52 54 -2 34
4 Jesenice 26 51 28 +23 49
5 Bistrc 26 50 71 -21 25
6 Izola 26 48 23 +25 47
7 Vipava 26 47 38 +9 43
8 Šencur 26 46 50 -4 32
9 Žiri 26 43 51 -8 28
10 Škofja Loka 26 39 34 +5 41
11 Dren Vrhnika 26 35 29 +6 42
12 Adria 26 34 60 -26 22
13 Šobec Lesce 26 30 26 +4 41
14 Kranj 26 22 88 -66 10
3. SNL - West Slovenia. 3. SNL - West Predictions