Tracked markets vs full-time result
Prediction grade
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Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Over / Under 2.5 — Over 2.5 (5 goals) — N/A
- Both Teams To Score — Yes — N/A
- 1X2 — Metro Gallery Sun Source — N/A
- Correct Score Insights — 3-2 — N/A
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.
Prediction Timeline
How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.
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Before kickoff Forecast generated
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Nov 30, 2025 · 07:30 UTC Kickoff
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FT Full-time result Metro Gallery Sun Source win · 3–2
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Archived Prediction review
Historical Snapshot
Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.
Historical verdict:
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Validation Report
Closing Odds
Pending
AI Fair Odds
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CLV
Pending
Final Result
Metro Gallery Sun Source win · Metro Gallery Sun Source 3–2 Yuen Long
Prediction
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Decision Grade
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Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Review FAQ
- How accurate was the prediction?
- This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
- What does xG Accuracy measure?
- xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
- Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
- Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
- Does this improve the AI record?
- Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.
Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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HKFA 1st Division — Standings
| # | TEAM | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Metro Gallery Sun Source | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 34 |
| 2 | WSE | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 34 |
| 3 | South China | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 26 |
| 4 | Hoi King | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 26 |
| 5 | Tung Sing | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 23 |
| 6 | Sham Shui Po | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 22 |
| 7 | Resources Capital | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 20 |
| 8 | Shatin | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19 |
| 9 | Yuen Long | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 17 |
| 10 | 3 Sing | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 17 |
| 11 | Central & Western | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 16 |
| 12 | Citizen AA | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 4 |
| 13 | Lucky Mile | 13 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 |
| 14 | Kwun Tong | 13 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 1 |
| # | TEAM | MP | GS | GC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Metro Gallery Sun Source | 13 | 56 | 14 | +42 | 34 |
| 2 | WSE | 13 | 49 | 10 | +39 | 34 |
| 3 | Hoi King | 13 | 33 | 25 | +8 | 26 |
| 4 | Resources Capital | 13 | 31 | 23 | +8 | 20 |
| 5 | South China | 13 | 29 | 10 | +19 | 26 |
| 6 | Shatin | 13 | 23 | 17 | +6 | 19 |
| 7 | Central & Western | 13 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 16 |
| 8 | Sham Shui Po | 13 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
| 9 | Tung Sing | 13 | 18 | 12 | +6 | 23 |
| 10 | 3 Sing | 13 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 17 |
| 11 | Yuen Long | 13 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 17 |
| 12 | Citizen AA | 13 | 14 | 46 | -32 | 4 |
| 13 | Lucky Mile | 13 | 12 | 58 | -46 | 3 |
| 14 | Kwun Tong | 13 | 9 | 46 | -37 | 1 |
