Predictions / Football / Romania. Liga III - Serie 3 / Voluntari II vs Înainte Modelu

Prediction Audit: Voluntari II vs Înainte Modelu Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Voluntari II Voluntari II
Mar 20, 2026 - 13:00
3 1.45
5 1.25
xG Accuracy: 23%
Înainte Modelu Înainte Modelu

The model missed the final outcome (Înainte Modelu win 3–5).

The model had projected Voluntari II at 41.8%, but the full-time result went the other way.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade C

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (8 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Voluntari II Înainte Modelu ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 1-2 3-5 ✖ Incorrect

Post Match Insights

What worked

  • Expected goals projected a high-scoring match (ΣxG 2.70) — 8 goals materialised
  • Both Teams To Score (Yes) matched the full-time result
  • Over 2.5 goals aligned with the xG profile

What failed

  • 1X2: model leaned Voluntari II; match finished Înainte Modelu
  • Exact score: outside the model's top score bins

Market lesson

The full-time result was Înainte Modelu win 3–5, which did not match the model's pre-match lean on 1X2.

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Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. Before kickoff Forecast generated
    • xG · Voluntari II 1.45 — Înainte Modelu 1.25
  2. Mar 20, 2026 · 13:00 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result Înainte Modelu win · 3–5
  4. FT Prediction missed 1X2 lean did not match full-time result
  5. Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe
Historical Decision No Primary Bet
Outcome Missed
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Evidence ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 20, 2026 · 21:16 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-4751506

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Înainte Modelu win · Voluntari II 3–5 Înainte Modelu
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Liga III - Serie 3 Liga III - Serie 3 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Înainte Modelu 21 14 3 4 45
1 FCSB II 1 1 0 0 42
2 Agricola Borcea 21 14 3 4 45
2 Progresul Fundulea 0 0 0 0 31
3 Popești-Leordeni 21 12 6 3 42
3 Gloria Băneasa 0 0 0 0 29
4 Recolta Gheorghe Doja 0 0 0 0 27
5 Dunarea Calarasi 21 11 4 6 37
5 Axiopolis 0 0 0 0 23
6 Agigea 0 0 0 0 23
7 Dinamo Bucureşti II 0 0 0 0 19
8 Voluntari II 1 0 0 1 12
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Înainte Modelu 21 49 23 +26 45
2 Agricola Borcea 21 48 26 +22 45
3 Popești-Leordeni 21 44 16 +28 42
4 Dunarea Calarasi 21 34 29 +5 37
5 FCSB II 1 2 0 +2 42
6 Progresul Fundulea 0 0 0 0 31
7 Gloria Băneasa 0 0 0 0 29
8 Recolta Gheorghe Doja 0 0 0 0 27
9 Axiopolis 0 0 0 0 23
10 Agigea 0 0 0 0 23
11 Dinamo Bucureşti II 0 0 0 0 19
12 Voluntari II 1 0 2 -2 12
Liga III - Serie 3 Romania. Liga III - Serie 3 Predictions