Tracked markets vs full-time result
Prediction grade
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Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Over / Under 2.5 — Under 2.5 (2 goals) — N/A
- Both Teams To Score — No — N/A
- 1X2 — Ilisiakos — N/A
- Correct Score Insights — 0-2 — N/A
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Prediction Timeline
How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.
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Before kickoff Forecast generated
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Oct 12, 2025 · 13:00 UTC Kickoff
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FT Full-time result Ilisiakos win · 0–2
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Archived Prediction review
Historical Snapshot
Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.
Historical verdict:
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Validation Report
Closing Odds
Pending
AI Fair Odds
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CLV
Pending
Final Result
Ilisiakos win · Ionikos 0–2 Ilisiakos
Prediction
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Decision Grade
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Review FAQ
- How accurate was the prediction?
- This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
- What does xG Accuracy measure?
- xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
- Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
- Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
- Does this improve the AI record?
- Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.
Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 — Standings
| # | TEAM | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ethnikos Piraeus | 22 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 49 |
| 2 | Ionikos | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 39 |
| 3 | Saronikos Anavyssou | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 38 |
| 4 | AE Mykonos | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 37 |
| 5 | Asteras Varis | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 36 |
| 6 | Thyella Diastavroseos | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 33 |
| 7 | Atsalenios | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 29 |
| 8 | Giouchtas | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 28 |
| 9 | Ilisiakos | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 27 |
| 10 | Chaidari | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 24 |
| 11 | Aias Salamina | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 21 |
| 12 | Graniths Agias Marinas | 22 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 6 |
| # | TEAM | MP | GS | GC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ethnikos Piraeus | 22 | 32 | 17 | +15 | 49 |
| 2 | Asteras Varis | 22 | 32 | 23 | +9 | 36 |
| 3 | AE Mykonos | 22 | 30 | 25 | +5 | 37 |
| 4 | Giouchtas | 22 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 28 |
| 5 | Saronikos Anavyssou | 22 | 26 | 16 | +10 | 38 |
| 6 | Thyella Diastavroseos | 22 | 26 | 20 | +6 | 33 |
| 7 | Ilisiakos | 22 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 27 |
| 8 | Ionikos | 22 | 24 | 19 | +5 | 39 |
| 9 | Atsalenios | 22 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 29 |
| 10 | Chaidari | 22 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 24 |
| 11 | Aias Salamina | 22 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 21 |
| 12 | Graniths Agias Marinas | 22 | 13 | 49 | -36 | 6 |
