Predictions / Football / Greece. Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 / Miltiadis Pyrgos vs Pangytheatikos

Prediction Audit: Miltiadis Pyrgos vs Pangytheatikos Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Miltiadis Pyrgos Miltiadis Pyrgos
Jan 18, 2026 - 13:00
4 0.74
0 0.61
xG Accuracy: 34%
Pangytheatikos Pangytheatikos

The model missed the final outcome (Miltiadis Pyrgos win 4–0).

The model had projected Draw at 42.1%, but the full-time result went the other way.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade F

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No No ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Draw Miltiadis Pyrgos ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 0-0, 1-0, 0-1, 1-1, 2-0 4-0 ✖ Incorrect

Post Match Insights

What worked

  • Both Teams To Score (No) matched the full-time result

What failed

  • Over / Under 2.5: model leaned Under 2.5; match finished Over 2.5 (4 goals)
  • 1X2: model leaned Draw; match finished Miltiadis Pyrgos

Market lesson

The full-time result was Miltiadis Pyrgos win 4–0, which did not match the model's pre-match lean on 1X2.

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Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. Before kickoff Forecast generated
    • xG · Miltiadis Pyrgos 0.74 — Pangytheatikos 0.61
  2. Jan 18, 2026 · 13:00 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result Miltiadis Pyrgos win · 4–0
  4. FT Prediction missed 1X2 lean did not match full-time result
  5. Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe
Historical Decision No Primary Bet
Outcome Missed
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Evidence ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 26, 2026 · 03:44 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1812978

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Miltiadis Pyrgos win · Miltiadis Pyrgos 4–0 Pangytheatikos
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Related Predictions

See Upcoming Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 Matches Track Miltiadis Pyrgos Next Match Prediction Track Pangytheatikos Next Match Prediction View Today's Football Predictions

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Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Pyrgos 1968 22 18 2 2 56
2 Zakynthos 22 16 4 2 52
3 Panegialios 22 15 5 2 50
4 Miltiadis Pyrgos 22 9 6 7 33
5 Korinthos 22 8 8 6 32
6 Pelopas Kiatou 22 9 2 11 29
7 Panthouriakos 22 7 7 8 28
8 Loutraki 22 8 4 10 28
9 Panachaiki FC 22 7 6 9 27
10 Thyella Patras 22 5 6 11 21
11 Ermis Meligous 22 2 4 16 10
12 Pangytheatikos 22 0 2 20 2
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Zakynthos 22 47 11 +36 52
2 Pyrgos 1968 22 45 7 +38 56
3 Panegialios 22 40 15 +25 50
4 Korinthos 22 35 31 +4 32
5 Miltiadis Pyrgos 22 32 23 +9 33
6 Panthouriakos 22 29 25 +4 28
7 Panachaiki FC 22 29 26 +3 27
8 Thyella Patras 22 20 30 -10 21
9 Pelopas Kiatou 22 20 32 -12 29
10 Loutraki 22 18 18 0 28
11 Ermis Meligous 22 13 40 -27 10
12 Pangytheatikos 22 8 78 -70 2
Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 Greece. Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 Predictions