Predictions / Football / Greece. Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 / Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou vs Ermis Exochi

Prediction Audit: Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou vs Ermis Exochi Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou
Jan 25, 2026 - 13:00
5 1.49
1 1.23
xG Accuracy: 36%
Ermis Exochi Ermis Exochi

AI correctly predicted the Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou win.

The match finished 5–1, validating the model's directional assessment.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade A

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 1-2 5-1 ✖ Incorrect

Post Match Insights

What worked

  • Expected goals projected a high-scoring match (ΣxG 2.72) — 6 goals materialised
  • Both Teams To Score (Yes) matched the full-time result
  • Over 2.5 goals aligned with the xG profile

What failed

  • Exact score: outside the model's top score bins

Market lesson

The model's directional lean matched the full-time result (Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou win 5–1).

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Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. Before kickoff Forecast generated
    • xG · Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou 1.49 — Ermis Exochi 1.23
  2. Jan 25, 2026 · 13:00 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou win · 5–1
  4. FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
  5. Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe
Historical Decision No Primary Bet
Outcome Validated
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Evidence ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 08, 2026 · 03:49 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3239786

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou win · Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou 5–1 Ermis Exochi
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade A

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Related Predictions

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Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Apollon Pontou 22 17 4 1 55
2 Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou 22 14 6 2 48
3 Veria 22 12 4 6 40
4 Ermis Exochi 22 10 5 7 35
5 Pierikos 22 9 3 10 30
6 Alexandreia 22 8 5 9 29
7 Akrites Sykeon 22 8 5 9 29
8 Eordaikos 22 8 4 10 28
9 Kozani 22 6 8 8 26
10 Sarakinos 22 8 2 12 26
11 Asteras Kard. 22 5 6 11 21
12 Evosmou 22 0 2 20 2
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou 22 49 24 +25 48
2 Apollon Pontou 22 47 6 +41 55
3 Ermis Exochi 22 36 30 +6 35
4 Veria 22 32 19 +13 40
5 Akrites Sykeon 22 29 24 +5 29
6 Asteras Kard. 22 28 43 -15 21
7 Alexandreia 22 27 31 -4 29
8 Sarakinos 22 27 38 -11 26
9 Eordaikos 22 25 27 -2 28
10 Pierikos 22 22 23 -1 30
11 Kozani 22 17 22 -5 26
12 Evosmou 22 13 65 -52 2
Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 Greece. Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 Predictions