Predictions / Football / Greece. Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 / Alexandreia vs Pierikos

Prediction Audit: Alexandreia vs Pierikos Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Alexandreia Alexandreia
Jan 18, 2026 - 13:00
2 0.74
0 0.61
xG Accuracy: 60%
Pierikos Pierikos

The model missed the final outcome (Alexandreia win 2–0).

The model had projected Draw at 42.1%, but the full-time result went the other way.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade C

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No No ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Draw Alexandreia ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 0-0, 1-0, 0-1, 1-1, 2-0 2-0 ✔ Correct

Post Match Insights

What worked

  • Low-scoring profile materialised (ΣxG 1.35, 2 goals)
  • Both Teams To Score (No) matched the full-time result
  • Under 2.5 goals aligned with the xG profile

What failed

  • 1X2: model leaned Draw; match finished Alexandreia

Market lesson

The full-time result was Alexandreia win 2–0, which did not match the model's pre-match lean on 1X2.

Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. Before kickoff Forecast generated
    • xG · Alexandreia 0.74 — Pierikos 0.61
  2. Jan 18, 2026 · 13:00 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result Alexandreia win · 2–0
  4. FT Prediction missed 1X2 lean did not match full-time result
  5. Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe
Historical Decision No Primary Bet
Outcome Missed
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Evidence ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 24, 2026 · 08:24 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1572337

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Alexandreia win · Alexandreia 2–0 Pierikos
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Related Predictions

See Upcoming Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 Matches Track Alexandreia Next Match Prediction Track Pierikos Next Match Prediction View Today's Football Predictions

Get Premium Predictions for Alexandreia & Pierikos!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now
Back to Predictions
Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Apollon Pontou 22 17 4 1 55
2 Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou 22 14 6 2 48
3 Veria 22 12 4 6 40
4 Ermis Exochi 22 10 5 7 35
5 Pierikos 22 9 3 10 30
6 Alexandreia 22 8 5 9 29
7 Akrites Sykeon 22 8 5 9 29
8 Eordaikos 22 8 4 10 28
9 Kozani 22 6 8 8 26
10 Sarakinos 22 8 2 12 26
11 Asteras Kard. 22 5 6 11 21
12 Evosmou 22 0 2 20 2
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou 22 49 24 +25 48
2 Apollon Pontou 22 47 6 +41 55
3 Ermis Exochi 22 36 30 +6 35
4 Veria 22 32 19 +13 40
5 Akrites Sykeon 22 29 24 +5 29
6 Asteras Kard. 22 28 43 -15 21
7 Alexandreia 22 27 31 -4 29
8 Sarakinos 22 27 38 -11 26
9 Eordaikos 22 25 27 -2 28
10 Pierikos 22 22 23 -1 30
11 Kozani 22 17 22 -5 26
12 Evosmou 22 13 65 -52 2
Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 Greece. Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 Predictions