Predictions / Football / Austria. Landesliga - Vorarlbergliga / Blau-Weiß Feldkirch vs Austria Lustenau II

Prediction Audit: Blau-Weiß Feldkirch vs Austria Lustenau II Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Blau-Weiß Feldkirch Blau-Weiß Feldkirch
Jun 06, 2026 - 12:00
1 1.78
6 1.63
xG Accuracy: 24%
Austria Lustenau II Austria Lustenau II

The model missed the final outcome (Austria Lustenau II win 1–6).

The model had projected Blau-Weiß Feldkirch at 40.6%, but the full-time result went the other way.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade C

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (7 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Blau-Weiß Feldkirch Austria Lustenau II ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 2-1, 1-2, 2-2, 1-0 1-6 ✖ Incorrect

Post Match Insights

What worked

  • Expected goals projected a high-scoring match (ΣxG 3.41) — 7 goals materialised
  • Both Teams To Score (Yes) matched the full-time result
  • Over 2.5 goals aligned with the xG profile

What failed

  • 1X2: model leaned Blau-Weiß Feldkirch; match finished Austria Lustenau II
  • Exact score: outside the model's top score bins

Market lesson

The full-time result was Austria Lustenau II win 1–6, which did not match the model's pre-match lean on 1X2.

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Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. Jun 06, 2026 · 18:11 UTC Forecast generated
    • xG · Blau-Weiß Feldkirch 1.78 — Austria Lustenau II 1.63
  2. Jun 06, 2026 · 12:00 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result Austria Lustenau II win · 1–6
  4. FT Prediction missed 1X2 lean did not match full-time result
  5. Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe
Historical Decision No Primary Bet
Outcome Missed
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Evidence ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 09, 2026 · 16:18 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3449241

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Austria Lustenau II win · Blau-Weiß Feldkirch 1–6 Austria Lustenau II
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Landesliga - Vorarlbergliga
  • Fixture: Blau-Weiß Feldkirch vs Austria Lustenau II
  • Kickoff: 2026-06-06 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 40.6% · Draw 25.0% · Away 34.3%
  • xG (showing): Blau-Weiß Feldkirch 1.78 — Austria Lustenau II 1.63 (total xG ≈ 3.41)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 33.8% · Over 2.5 66.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 68.1% · No 31.9%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 68.1% · No 31.9%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (9.6%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 02, 2026 (UTC)

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Landesliga - Vorarlbergliga Landesliga - Vorarlbergliga — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Röthis 25 15 5 5 50
2 Wolfurt 25 15 0 10 45
3 Lochau 25 14 3 8 45
4 FC Egg 24 14 2 8 44
5 Admira Dornbirn 25 13 4 8 43
6 Dornbirner SV 25 10 7 8 37
7 Hard 24 11 2 11 35
8 Ludesch 25 10 4 10 34
9 Blau-Weiß Feldkirch 23 9 3 11 30
10 Austria Lustenau II 25 10 2 13 32
11 Rotenberg 26 8 7 11 31
12 Bizau 25 6 7 12 25
13 Nenzing 25 6 4 14 22
14 Göfis 24 3 6 15 15
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Admira Dornbirn 25 57 47 +10 43
2 Wolfurt 25 56 44 +12 45
3 Röthis 25 54 27 +27 50
4 Dornbirner SV 25 50 35 +15 37
5 Austria Lustenau II 25 48 49 -1 32
6 Blau-Weiß Feldkirch 23 43 54 -11 30
7 Lochau 25 40 29 +11 45
8 Ludesch 25 39 37 +2 34
9 FC Egg 24 38 27 +11 44
10 Rotenberg 26 38 41 -3 31
11 Bizau 25 36 52 -16 25
12 Göfis 24 35 63 -28 15
13 Nenzing 25 32 60 -28 22
14 Hard 24 29 31 -2 35