Predictions / Football / Austria. Landesliga - Vorarlbergliga / Blau-Weiß Feldkirch vs FC Egg

Prediction Audit: Blau-Weiß Feldkirch vs FC Egg Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Blau-Weiß Feldkirch Blau-Weiß Feldkirch
Jun 02, 2026 - 16:30
3 1.64
0 1.77
xG Accuracy: 42%
FC Egg FC Egg

The model missed the final outcome (Blau-Weiß Feldkirch win 3–0).

The model had projected FC Egg at 40.2%, but the full-time result went the other way.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade F

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 FC Egg Blau-Weiß Feldkirch ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-2, 2-1, 2-2, 0-1 3-0 ✖ Incorrect

Post Match Insights

What worked

  • Expected goals projected a high-scoring match (ΣxG 3.41) — 3 goals materialised
  • Over 2.5 goals aligned with the xG profile

What failed

  • Both Teams To Score: model leaned BTTS Yes; match finished BTTS No
  • 1X2: model leaned FC Egg; match finished Blau-Weiß Feldkirch

Market lesson

The full-time result was Blau-Weiß Feldkirch win 3–0, which did not match the model's pre-match lean on 1X2.

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Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. Jun 03, 2026 · 18:13 UTC Forecast generated
    • xG · Blau-Weiß Feldkirch 1.64 — FC Egg 1.77
  2. Jun 02, 2026 · 16:30 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result Blau-Weiß Feldkirch win · 3–0
  4. FT Prediction missed 1X2 lean did not match full-time result
  5. Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe
Historical Decision No Primary Bet
Outcome Missed
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Evidence ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 09, 2026 · 14:17 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3434710

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Blau-Weiß Feldkirch win · Blau-Weiß Feldkirch 3–0 FC Egg
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Landesliga - Vorarlbergliga
  • Fixture: Blau-Weiß Feldkirch vs FC Egg
  • Kickoff: 2026-06-03 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 34.7% · Draw 25.1% · Away 40.2%
  • xG (showing): Blau-Weiß Feldkirch 1.64 — FC Egg 1.77 (total xG ≈ 3.41)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 33.8% · Over 2.5 66.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 68.1% · No 31.9%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 68.1% · No 31.9%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (9.6%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 02, 2026 (UTC)

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Landesliga - Vorarlbergliga Landesliga - Vorarlbergliga — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Röthis 25 15 5 5 50
2 Wolfurt 25 15 0 10 45
3 Lochau 25 14 3 8 45
4 FC Egg 24 14 2 8 44
5 Admira Dornbirn 25 13 4 8 43
6 Dornbirner SV 25 10 7 8 37
7 Hard 24 11 2 11 35
8 Ludesch 25 10 4 10 34
9 Blau-Weiß Feldkirch 23 9 3 11 30
10 Austria Lustenau II 25 10 2 13 32
11 Rotenberg 26 8 7 11 31
12 Bizau 25 6 7 12 25
13 Nenzing 25 6 4 14 22
14 Göfis 24 3 6 15 15
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Admira Dornbirn 25 57 47 +10 43
2 Wolfurt 25 56 44 +12 45
3 Röthis 25 54 27 +27 50
4 Dornbirner SV 25 50 35 +15 37
5 Austria Lustenau II 25 48 49 -1 32
6 Blau-Weiß Feldkirch 23 43 54 -11 30
7 Lochau 25 40 29 +11 45
8 Ludesch 25 39 37 +2 34
9 FC Egg 24 38 27 +11 44
10 Rotenberg 26 38 41 -3 31
11 Bizau 25 36 52 -16 25
12 Göfis 24 35 63 -28 15
13 Nenzing 25 32 60 -28 22
14 Hard 24 29 31 -2 35