Predictions / Football / Austria. Landesliga - Tirol / Silz / Mötz vs Wörgl

Prediction Audit: Silz / Mötz vs Wörgl Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Silz / Mötz Silz / Mötz
Apr 25, 2026 - 15:00
3 1.45
4 1.25
xG Accuracy: 31%
Wörgl Wörgl

The model missed the final outcome (Wörgl win 3–4).

The model had projected Silz / Mötz at 41.8%, but the full-time result went the other way.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade C

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (7 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Silz / Mötz Wörgl ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 1-2 3-4 ✖ Incorrect

Post Match Insights

What worked

  • Expected goals projected a high-scoring match (ΣxG 2.70) — 7 goals materialised
  • Both Teams To Score (Yes) matched the full-time result
  • Over 2.5 goals aligned with the xG profile

What failed

  • 1X2: model leaned Silz / Mötz; match finished Wörgl
  • Exact score: outside the model's top score bins

Market lesson

The full-time result was Wörgl win 3–4, which did not match the model's pre-match lean on 1X2.

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Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. Before kickoff Forecast generated
    • xG · Silz / Mötz 1.45 — Wörgl 1.25
  2. Apr 25, 2026 · 15:00 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result Wörgl win · 3–4
  4. FT Prediction missed 1X2 lean did not match full-time result
  5. Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe
Historical Decision No Primary Bet
Outcome Missed
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Evidence ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 25, 2026 · 01:30 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1665468

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Wörgl win · Silz / Mötz 3–4 Wörgl
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Landesliga - Tirol Landesliga - Tirol — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 St. Johann in Tirol 24 17 3 4 54
2 Swarovski Tirol II 23 16 5 2 53
3 Fügen 25 17 2 6 53
4 Innsbrucker AC 24 11 4 9 37
5 Kundl 23 11 2 10 35
6 Ebbs 25 10 5 10 35
7 Völs 23 8 9 6 33
8 Telfs 24 9 2 13 29
9 Oberperfuss 25 9 2 14 29
10 Silz / Mötz 25 9 1 15 28
11 Kematen 25 6 7 12 25
12 Wörgl 23 8 1 14 25
13 Mils 23 5 6 12 21
14 Volders 24 5 5 14 20
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Fügen 25 66 35 +31 53
2 St. Johann in Tirol 24 56 24 +32 54
3 Swarovski Tirol II 23 54 21 +33 53
4 Silz / Mötz 25 50 58 -8 28
5 Kundl 23 49 37 +12 35
6 Ebbs 25 49 40 +9 35
7 Oberperfuss 25 47 59 -12 29
8 Telfs 24 45 49 -4 29
9 Innsbrucker AC 24 43 34 +9 37
10 Kematen 25 41 59 -18 25
11 Völs 23 34 34 0 33
12 Mils 23 30 55 -25 21
13 Wörgl 23 28 56 -28 25
14 Volders 24 28 59 -31 20