Predictions / Football / Austria. Landesliga - Salzburg / Bramberg vs Union Henndorf

Prediction Audit: Bramberg vs Union Henndorf Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Bramberg Bramberg
May 17, 2026 - 15:00
1 1.45
1 1.25
xG Accuracy: 82%
Union Henndorf Union Henndorf

The model missed the final outcome (Draw 1–1).

The model had projected Bramberg at 41.8%, but the full-time result went the other way.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade F

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Bramberg Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 2-1, 1-1, 2-2, 3-1, 1-2 1-1 ✔ Correct

Post Match Insights

What worked

  • Both Teams To Score (Yes) matched the full-time result
  • Exact score 1–1 fell within the model's highlighted bins

What failed

  • Over / Under 2.5: model leaned Over 2.5; match finished Under 2.5 (2 goals)
  • 1X2: model leaned Bramberg; match finished Draw

Market lesson

The full-time result was Draw 1–1, which did not match the model's pre-match lean on 1X2.

Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. May 09, 2026 · 15:37 UTC Forecast generated
    • xG · Bramberg 1.45 — Union Henndorf 1.25
  2. May 17, 2026 · 15:00 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result Draw · 1–1
  4. FT Prediction missed 1X2 lean did not match full-time result
  5. Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe
Historical Decision No Primary Bet
Outcome Missed
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Evidence ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 23, 2026 · 13:41 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5225312

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Bramberg 1–1 Union Henndorf
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Landesliga - Salzburg
  • Fixture: Bramberg vs Union Henndorf
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-17 15:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
  • xG (showing): Bramberg 1.45 — Union Henndorf 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 24.6% · Over 2.5 75.4%); BTTS Yes (Yes 68.6% · No 31.4%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 68.6% · No 31.4%
  • Correct score (top bin): 2-1 (8.4%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 02, 2026 (UTC)

Related Predictions

See Upcoming Landesliga - Salzburg Matches Track Bramberg Next Match Prediction Track Union Henndorf Next Match Prediction View Today's Football Predictions

Get Premium Predictions for Bramberg & Union Henndorf!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now
Back to Predictions
Landesliga - Salzburg Landesliga - Salzburg — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Grödig 28 24 1 3 73
2 UFC Hallein 28 21 5 2 68
3 Bürmoos 28 16 6 6 54
4 Siezenheim 28 16 0 12 48
5 Bramberg 27 14 4 9 46
6 Straßwalchen 28 14 3 11 45
7 Salzburger AK 29 13 5 11 44
8 Eugendorf 28 12 3 13 39
9 Neumarkt 28 11 4 13 37
10 Union Henndorf 28 9 5 14 32
11 Puch 28 9 4 15 31
12 SV Schwarzach 28 10 1 17 31
13 Anif 28 8 6 14 30
14 Thalgau 28 8 6 14 30
15 Anthering 28 7 4 17 25
16 Hallwang 28 3 1 24 10
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Grödig 28 94 19 +75 73
2 UFC Hallein 28 78 31 +47 68
3 Thalgau 28 66 80 -14 30
4 Straßwalchen 28 64 60 +4 45
5 Siezenheim 28 63 45 +18 48
6 Bramberg 27 62 46 +16 46
7 Bürmoos 28 56 32 +24 54
8 Salzburger AK 29 49 50 -1 44
9 Neumarkt 28 49 64 -15 37
10 SV Schwarzach 28 47 68 -21 31
11 Eugendorf 28 46 34 +12 39
12 Union Henndorf 28 46 53 -7 32
13 Anif 28 45 49 -4 30
14 Puch 28 42 62 -20 31
15 Anthering 28 42 79 -37 25
16 Hallwang 28 26 103 -77 10