Prediction Audit: La Virgen del Camino vs UD Santa Marta Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

La Virgen del Camino

Nov 15, 2025 - 14:45

0 —

1 —

UD Santa Marta

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade —

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 — Under 2.5 (1 goals) — N/A
Both Teams To Score — No — N/A
1X2 — UD Santa Marta — N/A
Correct Score Insights — 0-1 — N/A

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Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

Before kickoff Forecast generated
Nov 15, 2025 · 14:45 UTC Kickoff
FT Full-time result UD Santa Marta win · 0–1
Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: —

Validation Report

Prediction Time: Frozen pre-match snapshot

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result UD Santa Marta win · La Virgen del Camino 0–1 UD Santa Marta

Prediction —

Decision Grade —

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?: This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?: xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?: Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?: Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Atlético Tordesillas	34	24	6	4	78
2	Guijuelo	34	21	7	6	70
3	Cristo Atlético	34	21	5	8	68
4	Palencia CF	34	20	4	10	64
5	UD Santa Marta	34	18	8	8	62
6	Atlético Mansillés	34	15	12	7	57
7	Almazán	34	12	12	10	48
8	Mirandés II	34	13	8	13	47
9	La Virgen del Camino	34	12	8	14	44
10	Cultural Leonesa II	34	12	6	16	42
11	Villaralbo	34	11	9	14	42
12	Arandina	34	9	10	15	37
13	Colegios Diocesanos	34	10	6	18	36
14	Bembibre	34	8	10	16	34
15	Unionistas II	34	6	13	15	31
16	Mojados	34	7	10	17	31
17	Becerril Campos	34	7	8	19	29
18	Numancia II	34	6	6	22	24

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Atlético Tordesillas	34	62	24	+38	78
2	Palencia CF	34	59	39	+20	64
3	Guijuelo	34	54	26	+28	70
4	UD Santa Marta	34	53	31	+22	62
5	Almazán	34	49	38	+11	48
6	Cristo Atlético	34	48	24	+24	68
7	Mirandés II	34	43	35	+8	47
8	Becerril Campos	34	41	60	-19	29
9	Cultural Leonesa II	34	38	43	-5	42
10	Bembibre	34	38	52	-14	34
11	Colegios Diocesanos	34	33	54	-21	36
12	Unionistas II	34	32	43	-11	31
13	Arandina	34	32	46	-14	37
14	Atlético Mansillés	34	31	27	+4	57
15	La Virgen del Camino	34	31	37	-6	44
16	Villaralbo	34	29	37	-8	42
17	Mojados	34	28	55	-27	31
18	Numancia II	34	26	56	-30	24