Predictions / Football / Italy. Serie D - Girone B / Vogherese vs Scanzorosciate

Prediction Audit: Vogherese vs Scanzorosciate Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Vogherese Vogherese
Mar 15, 2026 - 13:30
1 1.45
6 1.25
xG Accuracy: 24%
Scanzorosciate Scanzorosciate

The model missed the final outcome (Scanzorosciate win 1–6).

The model had projected Vogherese at 41.8%, but the full-time result went the other way.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade C

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (7 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Vogherese Scanzorosciate ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 1-2 1-6 ✖ Incorrect

Post Match Insights

What worked

  • Expected goals projected a high-scoring match (ΣxG 2.70) — 7 goals materialised
  • Both Teams To Score (Yes) matched the full-time result
  • Over 2.5 goals aligned with the xG profile

What failed

  • 1X2: model leaned Vogherese; match finished Scanzorosciate
  • Exact score: outside the model's top score bins

Market lesson

The full-time result was Scanzorosciate win 1–6, which did not match the model's pre-match lean on 1X2.

Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. Before kickoff Forecast generated
    • xG · Vogherese 1.45 — Scanzorosciate 1.25
  2. Mar 15, 2026 · 13:30 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result Scanzorosciate win · 1–6
  4. FT Prediction missed 1X2 lean did not match full-time result
  5. Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe
Historical Decision No Primary Bet
Outcome Missed
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Evidence ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 26, 2026 · 19:20 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1920934

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Scanzorosciate win · Vogherese 1–6 Scanzorosciate
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Related Predictions

See Upcoming Serie D - Girone B Matches Track Vogherese Next Match Prediction Track Scanzorosciate Next Match Prediction View Today's Football Predictions

Get Premium Predictions for Vogherese & Scanzorosciate!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now
Back to Predictions
Serie D - Girone B Serie D - Girone B — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Folgore Caratese 34 19 11 4 68
2 USD Casatese 34 16 13 5 61
3 Chievo 34 18 6 10 60
4 Milan II 34 16 8 10 56
5 Leon 34 14 11 9 53
6 Oltrepò 34 15 8 11 52
7 Brusaporto 34 15 6 13 51
8 Scanzorosciate 34 11 14 9 47
9 Villa Valle 34 13 8 13 47
10 Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 34 11 13 10 46
11 Caldiero Terme 34 10 15 9 45
12 Real Calepina 34 11 9 14 42
13 Castellanzese 34 10 11 13 41
14 Breno 34 9 11 14 38
15 Pavia 34 9 10 15 37
16 Varesina 34 7 15 12 36
17 Sondrio 34 8 7 19 31
18 Vogherese 34 2 8 24 11
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Milan II 34 62 37 +25 56
2 Folgore Caratese 34 58 27 +31 68
3 Chievo 34 52 43 +9 60
4 Caldiero Terme 34 50 40 +10 45
5 USD Casatese 34 49 28 +21 61
6 Leon 34 44 34 +10 53
7 Villa Valle 34 43 46 -3 47
8 Real Calepina 34 42 47 -5 42
9 Scanzorosciate 34 41 33 +8 47
10 Brusaporto 34 41 38 +3 51
11 Castellanzese 34 41 39 +2 41
12 Breno 34 39 51 -12 38
13 Oltrepò 34 38 36 +2 52
14 Varesina 34 38 44 -6 36
15 Sondrio 34 37 64 -27 31
16 Pavia 34 36 47 -11 37
17 Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 34 33 31 +2 46
18 Vogherese 34 21 80 -59 11
Serie D - Girone B Italy. Serie D - Girone B Predictions