Prediction Audit: Vogherese vs Leon Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Vogherese

Nov 09, 2025 - 13:30

1 —

3 —

Leon

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade —

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 — Over 2.5 (4 goals) — N/A
Both Teams To Score — Yes — N/A
1X2 — Leon — N/A
Correct Score Insights — 1-3 — N/A

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Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

Before kickoff Forecast generated
Nov 09, 2025 · 13:30 UTC Kickoff
FT Full-time result Leon win · 1–3
Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: —

Validation Report

Prediction Time: Frozen pre-match snapshot

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Leon win · Vogherese 1–3 Leon

Prediction —

Decision Grade —

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?: This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?: xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?: Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?: Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Serie D - Girone B — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Folgore Caratese	34	19	11	4	68
2	USD Casatese	34	16	13	5	61
3	Chievo	34	18	6	10	60
4	Milan II	34	16	8	10	56
5	Leon	34	14	11	9	53
6	Oltrepò	34	15	8	11	52
7	Brusaporto	34	15	6	13	51
8	Scanzorosciate	34	11	14	9	47
9	Villa Valle	34	13	8	13	47
10	Virtus Ciserano Bergamo	34	11	13	10	46
11	Caldiero Terme	34	10	15	9	45
12	Real Calepina	34	11	9	14	42
13	Castellanzese	34	10	11	13	41
14	Breno	34	9	11	14	38
15	Pavia	34	9	10	15	37
16	Varesina	34	7	15	12	36
17	Sondrio	34	8	7	19	31
18	Vogherese	34	2	8	24	11

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Milan II	34	62	37	+25	56
2	Folgore Caratese	34	58	27	+31	68
3	Chievo	34	52	43	+9	60
4	Caldiero Terme	34	50	40	+10	45
5	USD Casatese	34	49	28	+21	61
6	Leon	34	44	34	+10	53
7	Villa Valle	34	43	46	-3	47
8	Real Calepina	34	42	47	-5	42
9	Scanzorosciate	34	41	33	+8	47
10	Brusaporto	34	41	38	+3	51
11	Castellanzese	34	41	39	+2	41
12	Breno	34	39	51	-12	38
13	Oltrepò	34	38	36	+2	52
14	Varesina	34	38	44	-6	36
15	Sondrio	34	37	64	-27	31
16	Pavia	34	36	47	-11	37
17	Virtus Ciserano Bergamo	34	33	31	+2	46
18	Vogherese	34	21	80	-59	11