Predictions / Football / Spain. Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 / Barcelona B vs Atlético Baleares

Prediction Audit: Barcelona B vs Atlético Baleares Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Barcelona B Barcelona B
Mar 08, 2026 - 11:00
1 1.49
1 1.23
xG Accuracy: 82%
Atlético Baleares Atlético Baleares

The model missed the final outcome (Draw 1–1).

The model had projected Barcelona B at 43.2%, but the full-time result went the other way.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade F

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Barcelona B Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 1-2 1-1 ✔ Correct

Post Match Insights

What worked

  • Both Teams To Score (Yes) matched the full-time result
  • Exact score 1–1 fell within the model's highlighted bins

What failed

  • Over / Under 2.5: model leaned Over 2.5; match finished Under 2.5 (2 goals)
  • 1X2: model leaned Barcelona B; match finished Draw

Market lesson

The full-time result was Draw 1–1, which did not match the model's pre-match lean on 1X2.

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Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. Before kickoff Forecast generated
    • xG · Barcelona B 1.49 — Atlético Baleares 1.23
  2. Mar 08, 2026 · 11:00 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result Draw · 1–1
  4. FT Prediction missed 1X2 lean did not match full-time result
  5. Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe
Historical Decision No Primary Bet
Outcome Missed
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Evidence ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 28, 2026 · 04:11 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2135719

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Barcelona B 1–1 Atlético Baleares
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Sant Andreu 34 20 6 8 66
2 Atlético Baleares 34 19 9 6 66
3 Poblense 34 16 11 7 59
4 Reddis 34 16 7 11 55
5 Alcoyano 34 13 16 5 55
6 Barcelona B 34 14 10 10 52
7 Girona II 34 12 11 11 47
8 Terrassa 34 11 13 10 46
9 Valencia U21 34 10 14 10 44
10 Espanyol II 34 10 14 10 44
11 Barbastro 34 10 13 11 43
12 Olot 34 10 12 12 42
13 Castellón II 34 11 9 14 42
13 Valencia II 30 7 14 9 35
14 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 34 10 10 14 40
15 Andratx 34 8 9 17 33
16 Atlètic Lleida 34 6 12 16 30
17 Torrent 34 7 9 18 30
18 Porreres 34 6 9 19 27
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Barcelona B 34 62 40 +22 52
2 Castellón II 34 59 72 -13 42
3 Atlético Baleares 34 53 34 +19 66
4 Valencia U21 34 53 50 +3 44
5 Sant Andreu 34 51 33 +18 66
6 Reddis 34 50 38 +12 55
7 Girona II 34 45 37 +8 47
8 Valencia II 30 43 47 -4 35
9 Poblense 34 41 28 +13 59
10 Atlètic Lleida 34 37 51 -14 30
11 Terrassa 34 36 44 -8 46
12 Torrent 34 36 53 -17 30
13 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 34 35 44 -9 40
14 Andratx 34 35 56 -21 33
15 Espanyol II 34 34 35 -1 44
16 Barbastro 34 32 31 +1 43
17 Olot 34 31 32 -1 42
18 Alcoyano 34 30 20 +10 55
19 Porreres 34 22 44 -22 27
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 Spain. Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 Predictions