Predictions / Football / Turkey. 3. Lig - Group 4 / Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor vs Kütahyaspor

Prediction Audit: Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor vs Kütahyaspor Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor
Mar 25, 2026 - 13:00
0 1.45
1 1.25
xG Accuracy: 63%
Kütahyaspor Kütahyaspor

The model missed the final outcome (Kütahyaspor win 0–1).

The model had projected Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor at 41.8%, but the full-time result went the other way.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade F

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor Kütahyaspor ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 1-2 0-1 ✔ Correct

Post Match Insights

What worked

  • Exact score 0–1 fell within the model's highlighted bins

What failed

  • Both Teams To Score: model leaned BTTS Yes; match finished BTTS No
  • Over / Under 2.5: model leaned Over 2.5; match finished Under 2.5 (1 goals)

Market lesson

The full-time result was Kütahyaspor win 0–1, which did not match the model's pre-match lean on 1X2.

Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. Before kickoff Forecast generated
    • xG · Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor 1.45 — Kütahyaspor 1.25
  2. Mar 25, 2026 · 13:00 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result Kütahyaspor win · 0–1
  4. FT Prediction missed 1X2 lean did not match full-time result
  5. Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe
Historical Decision No Primary Bet
Outcome Missed
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Evidence ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 06, 2026 · 12:33 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3118067

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Kütahyaspor win · Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor 0–1 Kütahyaspor
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Related Predictions

See Upcoming 3. Lig - Group 4 Matches Track Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor Next Match Prediction Track Kütahyaspor Next Match Prediction View Today's Football Predictions

Get Premium Predictions for Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor & Kütahyaspor!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now
Back to Predictions
3. Lig - Group 4 3. Lig - Group 4 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Kütahyaspor 30 24 3 3 75
2 Eskişehirspor 30 22 5 3 71
3 Karşıyaka 30 20 7 3 67
4 Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor 30 18 5 7 59
5 Balıkesirspor 30 17 7 6 58
6 Utaş Uşakspor 30 15 3 12 48
7 Denizli İYG 30 14 5 11 47
8 Kestelspor 30 10 8 12 38
9 Tire 2021 FK 30 10 7 13 37
10 Efeler 09 Spor 30 10 5 15 35
11 Anadolu Üniversitesi 30 9 8 13 35
12 Altay 30 9 7 14 28
13 Bergama Belediyespor 30 6 5 19 23
14 Afjet Afyonspor 30 5 7 18 22
15 Viven Bornova 30 5 6 19 21
16 Nazilli Belediyespor 30 0 4 26 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Eskişehirspor 30 74 18 +56 71
2 Kütahyaspor 30 69 18 +51 75
3 Karşıyaka 30 64 19 +45 67
4 Balıkesirspor 30 59 24 +35 58
5 Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor 30 59 27 +32 59
6 Tire 2021 FK 30 47 39 +8 37
7 Anadolu Üniversitesi 30 44 42 +2 35
8 Efeler 09 Spor 30 39 43 -4 35
9 Denizli İYG 30 37 33 +4 47
10 Utaş Uşakspor 30 35 35 0 48
11 Viven Bornova 30 35 68 -33 21
12 Afjet Afyonspor 30 31 61 -30 22
13 Altay 30 29 41 -12 28
14 Kestelspor 30 28 33 -5 38
15 Bergama Belediyespor 30 28 66 -38 23
16 Nazilli Belediyespor 30 7 118 -111 1