Predictions / Football / Turkey. 3. Lig - Group 2 / Kapadokyaspor vs Türk Metal 1963

Prediction Audit: Kapadokyaspor vs Türk Metal 1963 Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Kapadokyaspor Kapadokyaspor
Mar 24, 2026 - 11:00
1 1.45
3 1.25
xG Accuracy: 55%
Türk Metal 1963 Türk Metal 1963

The model missed the final outcome (Türk Metal 1963 win 1–3).

The model had projected Kapadokyaspor at 41.8%, but the full-time result went the other way.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade C

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Kapadokyaspor Türk Metal 1963 ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 1-2 1-3 ✖ Incorrect

Post Match Insights

What worked

  • Expected goals projected a high-scoring match (ΣxG 2.70) — 4 goals materialised
  • Both Teams To Score (Yes) matched the full-time result
  • Over 2.5 goals aligned with the xG profile

What failed

  • 1X2: model leaned Kapadokyaspor; match finished Türk Metal 1963
  • Exact score: outside the model's top score bins

Market lesson

The full-time result was Türk Metal 1963 win 1–3, which did not match the model's pre-match lean on 1X2.

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Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. Before kickoff Forecast generated
    • xG · Kapadokyaspor 1.45 — Türk Metal 1963 1.25
  2. Mar 24, 2026 · 11:00 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result Türk Metal 1963 win · 1–3
  4. FT Prediction missed 1X2 lean did not match full-time result
  5. Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe
Historical Decision No Primary Bet
Outcome Missed
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Evidence ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 28, 2026 · 06:41 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2141445

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Türk Metal 1963 win · Kapadokyaspor 1–3 Türk Metal 1963
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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3. Lig - Group 2 3. Lig - Group 2 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 12 Bingölspor 30 17 9 4 60
2 Talasgücü Belediyespor 30 13 11 7 49
3 Silifke Belediyespor 30 12 12 6 48
4 Yeşilyurt Belediyespor 30 13 8 9 47
5 Mazıdağı Fosfatspor 30 12 11 7 47
6 Ağrı 1970 30 12 9 9 45
7 Karaköprü Belediyespor 30 13 8 10 47
8 Osmaniyespor 30 12 6 12 42
9 Niğde Belediyesispor 30 11 9 11 42
10 Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu 30 11 7 13 40
11 Diyarbekirspor 30 8 10 12 34
12 Kırşehir Belediyespor 30 7 13 10 34
13 Kahramanmaraşspor 30 7 11 12 32
14 Kilis Belediyespor 30 8 6 16 30
15 Kapadokyaspor 30 5 13 12 28
16 Türk Metal 1963 30 4 11 15 23
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 12 Bingölspor 30 60 28 +32 60
2 Ağrı 1970 30 57 33 +24 45
3 Yeşilyurt Belediyespor 30 45 35 +10 47
4 Niğde Belediyesispor 30 44 36 +8 42
5 Talasgücü Belediyespor 30 42 31 +11 49
6 Osmaniyespor 30 42 40 +2 42
7 Silifke Belediyespor 30 41 26 +15 48
8 Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu 30 39 51 -12 40
9 Karaköprü Belediyespor 30 38 42 -4 47
10 Kırşehir Belediyespor 30 37 38 -1 34
11 Kahramanmaraşspor 30 35 48 -13 32
12 Diyarbekirspor 30 33 42 -9 34
13 Mazıdağı Fosfatspor 30 32 24 +8 47
14 Türk Metal 1963 30 30 55 -25 23
15 Kapadokyaspor 30 29 47 -18 28
16 Kilis Belediyespor 30 25 53 -28 30
3. Lig - Group 2 Turkey. 3. Lig - Group 2 Predictions