Predictions / Football / Turkey. 3. Lig - Group 2 / Kilis Belediyespor vs Osmaniyespor

Prediction Audit: Kilis Belediyespor vs Osmaniyespor Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Feb 22, 2026 - 10:00
1 1.49
0 1.23
xG Accuracy: 62%

AI correctly predicted the Kilis Belediyespor win.

The match finished 1–0, validating the model's directional assessment.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade F

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Kilis Belediyespor Kilis Belediyespor ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 1-2 1-0 ✔ Correct

Post Match Insights

What worked

  • Exact score 1–0 fell within the model's highlighted bins

What failed

  • Both Teams To Score: model leaned BTTS Yes; match finished BTTS No
  • Over / Under 2.5: model leaned Over 2.5; match finished Under 2.5 (1 goals)

Market lesson

The model's directional lean matched the full-time result (Kilis Belediyespor win 1–0).

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Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. Before kickoff Forecast generated
    • xG · Kilis Belediyespor 1.49 — Osmaniyespor 1.23
  2. Feb 22, 2026 · 10:00 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result Kilis Belediyespor win · 1–0
  4. FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
  5. Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe
Historical Decision No Primary Bet
Outcome Validated
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Evidence ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 27, 2026 · 20:00 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2076888

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Kilis Belediyespor win · Kilis Belediyespor 1–0 Osmaniyespor
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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3. Lig - Group 2 3. Lig - Group 2 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 12 Bingölspor 30 17 9 4 60
2 Talasgücü Belediyespor 30 13 11 7 49
3 Silifke Belediyespor 30 12 12 6 48
4 Yeşilyurt Belediyespor 30 13 8 9 47
5 Mazıdağı Fosfatspor 30 12 11 7 47
6 Ağrı 1970 30 12 9 9 45
7 Karaköprü Belediyespor 30 13 8 10 47
8 Osmaniyespor 30 12 6 12 42
9 Niğde Belediyesispor 30 11 9 11 42
10 Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu 30 11 7 13 40
11 Diyarbekirspor 30 8 10 12 34
12 Kırşehir Belediyespor 30 7 13 10 34
13 Kahramanmaraşspor 30 7 11 12 32
14 Kilis Belediyespor 30 8 6 16 30
15 Kapadokyaspor 30 5 13 12 28
16 Türk Metal 1963 30 4 11 15 23
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 12 Bingölspor 30 60 28 +32 60
2 Ağrı 1970 30 57 33 +24 45
3 Yeşilyurt Belediyespor 30 45 35 +10 47
4 Niğde Belediyesispor 30 44 36 +8 42
5 Talasgücü Belediyespor 30 42 31 +11 49
6 Osmaniyespor 30 42 40 +2 42
7 Silifke Belediyespor 30 41 26 +15 48
8 Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu 30 39 51 -12 40
9 Karaköprü Belediyespor 30 38 42 -4 47
10 Kırşehir Belediyespor 30 37 38 -1 34
11 Kahramanmaraşspor 30 35 48 -13 32
12 Diyarbekirspor 30 33 42 -9 34
13 Mazıdağı Fosfatspor 30 32 24 +8 47
14 Türk Metal 1963 30 30 55 -25 23
15 Kapadokyaspor 30 29 47 -18 28
16 Kilis Belediyespor 30 25 53 -28 30