Predictions / Football / Turkey. 3. Lig - Group 1 / Edirnespor vs Bursa Yıldırımspor

Prediction Audit: Edirnespor vs Bursa Yıldırımspor Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Edirnespor Edirnespor
Jan 24, 2026 - 12:00
1 1.49
3 1.23
xG Accuracy: 54%
Bursa Yıldırımspor Bursa Yıldırımspor

The model missed the final outcome (Bursa Yıldırımspor win 1–3).

The model had projected Edirnespor at 43.2%, but the full-time result went the other way.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade C

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Edirnespor Bursa Yıldırımspor ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 1-2 1-3 ✖ Incorrect

Post Match Insights

What worked

  • Expected goals projected a high-scoring match (ΣxG 2.72) — 4 goals materialised
  • Both Teams To Score (Yes) matched the full-time result
  • Over 2.5 goals aligned with the xG profile

What failed

  • 1X2: model leaned Edirnespor; match finished Bursa Yıldırımspor
  • Exact score: outside the model's top score bins

Market lesson

The full-time result was Bursa Yıldırımspor win 1–3, which did not match the model's pre-match lean on 1X2.

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Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. Before kickoff Forecast generated
    • xG · Edirnespor 1.49 — Bursa Yıldırımspor 1.23
  2. Jan 24, 2026 · 12:00 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result Bursa Yıldırımspor win · 1–3
  4. FT Prediction missed 1X2 lean did not match full-time result
  5. Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe
Historical Decision No Primary Bet
Outcome Missed
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Evidence ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 02, 2026 · 01:17 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2812103

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Bursa Yıldırımspor win · Edirnespor 1–3 Bursa Yıldırımspor
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Related Predictions

See Upcoming 3. Lig - Group 1 Matches Track Edirnespor Next Match Prediction Track Bursa Yıldırımspor Next Match Prediction View Today's Football Predictions

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3. Lig - Group 1 3. Lig - Group 1 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik 30 18 8 4 62
2 Çorluspor 1947 30 18 7 5 61
3 Küçükçekmece Sinopspor 30 17 5 8 56
4 Etimesgut Belediyespor 30 14 10 6 52
5 Bursa Yıldırımspor 30 13 10 7 49
6 Silivrispor 30 12 7 11 43
7 Beykoz İshaklıspor 30 9 13 8 40
8 Nilüfer Belediye 30 10 8 12 38
9 Yalova Yeşilovaspor 30 9 10 11 37
10 Galata 30 10 7 13 37
11 Kartal Bulvarspor 30 9 8 13 35
12 İnkılapspor 30 7 14 9 35
13 Çankaya FK 30 8 10 12 34
14 Kestel Çilek 30 8 6 16 30
15 1926 Polatlı Belediye 30 7 7 16 28
16 Edirnespor 30 3 6 21 15
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Çorluspor 1947 30 57 23 +34 61
2 Küçükçekmece Sinopspor 30 54 30 +24 56
3 İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik 30 49 26 +23 62
4 Silivrispor 30 42 36 +6 43
5 Bursa Yıldırımspor 30 38 31 +7 49
6 Yalova Yeşilovaspor 30 38 36 +2 37
7 Çankaya FK 30 38 37 +1 34
8 Etimesgut Belediyespor 30 36 23 +13 52
9 Kartal Bulvarspor 30 35 47 -12 35
10 Galata 30 34 34 0 37
11 Beykoz İshaklıspor 30 34 35 -1 40
12 Nilüfer Belediye 30 33 42 -9 38
13 Kestel Çilek 30 27 39 -12 30
14 1926 Polatlı Belediye 30 24 44 -20 28
15 İnkılapspor 30 23 36 -13 35
16 Edirnespor 30 22 65 -43 15
3. Lig - Group 1 Turkey. 3. Lig - Group 1 Predictions