Predictions / Football / England. Non League Div One - Isthmian South East / Eastbourne Town vs Erith Town

Prediction Audit: Eastbourne Town vs Erith Town Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Eastbourne Town Eastbourne Town
Jan 31, 2026 - 15:00
0 1.49
3 1.23
xG Accuracy: 41%
Erith Town Erith Town

The model missed the final outcome (Erith Town win 0–3).

The model had projected Eastbourne Town at 43.2%, but the full-time result went the other way.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade F

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Eastbourne Town Erith Town ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 1-2 0-3 ✖ Incorrect

Post Match Insights

What worked

  • Expected goals projected a high-scoring match (ΣxG 2.72) — 3 goals materialised
  • Over 2.5 goals aligned with the xG profile

What failed

  • Both Teams To Score: model leaned BTTS Yes; match finished BTTS No
  • 1X2: model leaned Eastbourne Town; match finished Erith Town

Market lesson

The full-time result was Erith Town win 0–3, which did not match the model's pre-match lean on 1X2.

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Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. Before kickoff Forecast generated
    • xG · Eastbourne Town 1.49 — Erith Town 1.23
  2. Jan 31, 2026 · 15:00 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result Erith Town win · 0–3
  4. FT Prediction missed 1X2 lean did not match full-time result
  5. Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe
Historical Decision No Primary Bet
Outcome Missed
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Evidence ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 05, 2026 · 10:30 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3041230

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Erith Town win · Eastbourne Town 0–3 Erith Town
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Non League Div One - Isthmian South East Non League Div One - Isthmian South East — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Three Bridges 42 30 6 6 96
2 AFC Croydon Athletic 42 26 7 9 85
3 Jersey Bulls 42 24 12 6 84
4 AFC Whyteleafe 42 25 8 9 83
5 Sittingbourne 42 23 10 9 79
6 Margate 42 22 9 11 75
7 Faversham Town 42 20 14 8 74
8 Deal Town 42 21 6 15 69
9 Ashford United 42 20 7 15 67
10 Merstham 42 17 9 16 60
11 Eastbourne Town 42 16 8 18 56
12 Sevenoaks Town 42 16 7 19 55
13 Crowborough Athletic 42 16 7 19 55
14 Herne Bay 42 15 10 17 55
15 Broadbridge Heath 42 15 5 22 50
16 Erith Town 42 12 12 18 47
17 Hastings United 42 13 7 22 46
18 Sheppey United 42 12 8 22 44
19 Hassocks 42 11 8 23 41
20 Beckenham Town 42 8 11 23 35
21 VCD Athletic 42 8 8 26 32
22 East Grinstead Town 42 1 3 38 6
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Three Bridges 42 124 44 +80 96
2 AFC Whyteleafe 42 109 46 +63 83
3 AFC Croydon Athletic 42 96 58 +38 85
4 Ashford United 42 92 67 +25 67
5 Deal Town 42 91 66 +25 69
6 Margate 42 87 63 +24 75
7 Sittingbourne 42 86 50 +36 79
8 Faversham Town 42 86 58 +28 74
9 Jersey Bulls 42 81 35 +46 84
10 Broadbridge Heath 42 80 90 -10 50
11 Merstham 42 73 65 +8 60
12 Sevenoaks Town 42 72 80 -8 55
13 Erith Town 42 65 81 -16 47
14 Herne Bay 42 63 75 -12 55
15 Eastbourne Town 42 63 77 -14 56
16 Crowborough Athletic 42 63 84 -21 55
17 Sheppey United 42 63 95 -32 44
18 Hastings United 42 55 70 -15 46
19 VCD Athletic 42 54 101 -47 32
20 Hassocks 42 53 79 -26 41
21 Beckenham Town 42 53 94 -41 35
22 East Grinstead Town 42 30 161 -131 6