Predictions / Football / England. Non League Div One - Isthmian North / Downham Town vs Grays Athletic

Prediction Audit: Downham Town vs Grays Athletic Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Downham Town Downham Town
Mar 21, 2026 - 15:00
1 1.45
0 1.25
xG Accuracy: 63%
Grays Athletic Grays Athletic

AI correctly predicted the Downham Town win.

The match finished 1–0, validating the model's directional assessment.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade F

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Downham Town Downham Town ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 1-2 1-0 ✔ Correct

Post Match Insights

What worked

  • Exact score 1–0 fell within the model's highlighted bins

What failed

  • Both Teams To Score: model leaned BTTS Yes; match finished BTTS No
  • Over / Under 2.5: model leaned Over 2.5; match finished Under 2.5 (1 goals)

Market lesson

The model's directional lean matched the full-time result (Downham Town win 1–0).

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Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. Before kickoff Forecast generated
    • xG · Downham Town 1.45 — Grays Athletic 1.25
  2. Mar 21, 2026 · 15:00 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result Downham Town win · 1–0
  4. FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
  5. Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe
Historical Decision No Primary Bet
Outcome Validated
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Evidence ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 03, 2026 · 14:36 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2932716

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Downham Town win · Downham Town 1–0 Grays Athletic
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Related Predictions

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Non League Div One - Isthmian North Non League Div One - Isthmian North — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Maldon & Tiptree 42 30 7 5 97
2 Felixstowe & Walton Utd 42 30 7 5 97
3 Waltham Abbey 42 24 8 10 80
4 Stanway Rovers 42 22 11 9 77
5 Redbridge 42 21 8 13 71
6 Gorleston 42 22 5 15 71
7 Bowers & Pitsea 42 19 11 12 68
8 Wroxham 42 19 10 13 67
9 Witham Town 42 17 11 14 62
10 Walthamstow 42 16 10 16 58
11 Tilbury 42 15 13 14 58
12 Concord Rangers 42 16 8 18 56
13 Cambridge City 42 14 14 14 56
14 Brightlingsea Regent 42 16 8 18 56
15 Newmarket Town 42 15 9 18 54
16 Lowestoft Town 42 14 7 21 49
17 Takeley 42 13 8 21 47
18 Grays Athletic 42 12 8 22 44
19 Mildenhall Town 42 12 5 25 41
20 Downham Town 42 8 13 21 37
21 Heybridge Swifts 42 7 7 28 28
22 Brantham Athletic 42 4 4 34 16
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Maldon & Tiptree 42 97 33 +64 97
2 Felixstowe & Walton Utd 42 90 37 +53 97
3 Waltham Abbey 42 88 50 +38 80
4 Bowers & Pitsea 42 85 53 +32 68
5 Redbridge 42 83 65 +18 71
6 Stanway Rovers 42 70 44 +26 77
7 Gorleston 42 70 67 +3 71
8 Newmarket Town 42 69 69 0 54
9 Witham Town 42 68 59 +9 62
10 Walthamstow 42 68 62 +6 58
11 Concord Rangers 42 62 64 -2 56
12 Lowestoft Town 42 62 84 -22 49
13 Brightlingsea Regent 42 61 63 -2 56
14 Cambridge City 42 58 49 +9 56
15 Tilbury 42 57 54 +3 58
16 Wroxham 42 54 47 +7 67
17 Mildenhall Town 42 53 81 -28 41
18 Grays Athletic 42 44 60 -16 44
19 Takeley 42 43 72 -29 47
20 Downham Town 42 43 72 -29 37
21 Heybridge Swifts 42 29 85 -56 28
22 Brantham Athletic 42 27 111 -84 16