Tracked markets vs full-time result
Prediction grade
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Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Over / Under 2.5 — Under 2.5 (2 goals) — N/A
- Both Teams To Score — No — N/A
- 1X2 — Lexington W — N/A
- Correct Score Insights — 2-0 — N/A
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Prediction Timeline
How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.
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Before kickoff Forecast generated
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Sep 07, 2025 · 18:00 UTC Kickoff
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FT Full-time result Lexington W win · 2–0
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Archived Prediction review
Historical Snapshot
Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.
Historical verdict:
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Validation Report
Closing Odds
Pending
AI Fair Odds
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CLV
Pending
Final Result
Lexington W win · Lexington W 2–0 Brooklyn W
Prediction
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Decision Grade
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Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Review FAQ
- How accurate was the prediction?
- This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
- What does xG Accuracy measure?
- xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
- Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
- Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
- Does this improve the AI record?
- Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.
Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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USL Super League — Standings
| # | TEAM | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lexington W | 28 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 53 |
| 2 | Sporting JAX | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 53 |
| 3 | Carolina Ascent W | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 51 |
| 4 | Dallas Trinity W | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 40 |
| 5 | Spokane Zephyr W | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 39 |
| 6 | DC Power W | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 33 |
| 7 | Brooklyn W | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 26 |
| 8 | Tampa Bay Sun W | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 24 |
| 9 | Fort Lauderdale United W | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 23 |
| # | TEAM | MP | GS | GC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting JAX | 28 | 54 | 32 | +22 | 53 |
| 2 | Lexington W | 28 | 50 | 24 | +26 | 53 |
| 3 | Carolina Ascent W | 28 | 39 | 27 | +12 | 51 |
| 4 | Dallas Trinity W | 28 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 40 |
| 5 | Spokane Zephyr W | 28 | 34 | 28 | +6 | 39 |
| 6 | DC Power W | 28 | 34 | 32 | +2 | 33 |
| 7 | Brooklyn W | 28 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 26 |
| 8 | Fort Lauderdale United W | 28 | 30 | 62 | -32 | 23 |
| 9 | Tampa Bay Sun W | 28 | 27 | 46 | -19 | 24 |
