Predictions / Football / Egypt. Second League / Tanta SC vs El Mansura

Prediction Audit: Tanta SC vs El Mansura Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Tanta SC Tanta SC
May 14, 2026 - 13:30
1 1.45
1 1.25
xG Accuracy: 82%
El Mansura El Mansura

The model missed the final outcome (Draw 1–1).

The model had projected Tanta SC at 41.8%, but the full-time result went the other way.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade F

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Tanta SC Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 0-0, 0-1, 1-0, 1-1, 0-2 1-1 ✔ Correct

Post Match Insights

What worked

  • Under 2.5 goals aligned with the xG profile
  • Exact score 1–1 fell within the model's highlighted bins

What failed

  • Both Teams To Score: model leaned BTTS No; match finished BTTS Yes
  • 1X2: model leaned Tanta SC; match finished Draw

Market lesson

The full-time result was Draw 1–1, which did not match the model's pre-match lean on 1X2.

Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. May 14, 2026 · 12:29 UTC Forecast generated
    • xG · Tanta SC 1.45 — El Mansura 1.25
  2. May 14, 2026 · 13:30 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result Draw · 1–1
  4. FT Prediction missed 1X2 lean did not match full-time result
  5. Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe
Historical Decision No Primary Bet
Outcome Missed
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Evidence ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 05, 2026 · 03:21 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3022723

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Tanta SC 1–1 El Mansura
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Second League
  • Fixture: Tanta SC vs El Mansura
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-14 12:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
  • xG (showing): Tanta SC 1.45 — El Mansura 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV on tracked lines at current best prices (same as the decision block: no default bet).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 74.4% · Over 2.5 25.6%); BTTS No (Yes 33.9% · No 66.1%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
  • BTTS (model): Yes 33.9% · No 66.1%
  • Correct score (top bin): 0-0 (17.4%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 14, 2026 (UTC)

Related Predictions

See Upcoming Second League Matches Track Tanta SC Next Match Prediction Track El Mansura Next Match Prediction View Today's Football Predictions

Get Premium Predictions for Tanta SC & El Mansura!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now
Back to Predictions
Second League Second League — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Olympic El Qanah 34 21 9 4 72
2 Asyut Petrol 34 16 12 6 60
3 Abu Qair Semad 34 15 13 6 58
4 Masar 34 15 10 9 55
5 Proxy 34 13 16 5 55
6 La Viena FC 34 14 12 8 54
7 Itesalat 34 11 13 10 46
8 El Seka El Hadid 34 12 10 12 46
9 Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat 34 11 11 12 44
10 El Mansura 34 9 17 8 44
11 Tersana 34 8 16 10 40
12 Dayrout 34 10 13 11 43
13 El Dakhleya 34 10 10 14 40
14 El Entag EL Harby 34 10 9 15 39
15 Tanta SC 34 5 18 11 33
16 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 34 7 11 16 32
17 Aswan Sc 34 5 10 19 25
18 Raya Ghazl 34 4 10 20 22
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Olympic El Qanah 34 53 19 +34 72
2 Masar 34 47 29 +18 55
3 Asyut Petrol 34 42 27 +15 60
4 Proxy 34 41 31 +10 55
5 Abu Qair Semad 34 40 25 +15 58
6 La Viena FC 34 38 23 +15 54
7 El Entag EL Harby 34 38 48 -10 39
8 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 34 34 38 -4 32
9 Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat 34 31 29 +2 44
10 Tersana 34 31 32 -1 40
11 El Dakhleya 34 31 43 -12 40
12 Itesalat 34 30 34 -4 46
13 El Mansura 34 28 27 +1 44
14 El Seka El Hadid 34 28 33 -5 46
15 Tanta SC 34 27 36 -9 33
16 Dayrout 34 23 30 -7 43
17 Raya Ghazl 34 20 51 -31 22
18 Aswan Sc 34 15 42 -27 25
Second League Egypt. Second League Predictions