AI correctly predicted the Tainan City win.
The match finished 4–0, validating the model's directional assessment.
Tracked markets vs full-time result
Prediction grade
B-
Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✔ Correct
- Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
- 1X2 Tainan City Tainan City ✔ Correct
- Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 1-2 4-0 ✖ Incorrect
Post Match Insights
What worked
- Expected goals projected a high-scoring match (ΣxG 2.70) — 4 goals materialised
- Over 2.5 goals aligned with the xG profile
What failed
- Both Teams To Score: model leaned BTTS Yes; match finished BTTS No
- Exact score: outside the model's top score bins
Market lesson
The model's directional lean matched the full-time result (Tainan City win 4–0).
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Prediction Timeline
How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.
-
Before kickoff Forecast generated
- xG · Tainan City 1.45 — Ming Chuan University 1.25
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Apr 26, 2026 · 07:30 UTC Kickoff
-
FT Full-time result Tainan City win · 4–0
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FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
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Archived Prediction review
Historical Snapshot
Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.
Historical verdict:
Observe
Historical Decision
No Primary Bet
Outcome
Validated
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability
57/100
· Moderate
- Validation: Pending
Evidence
★★★★★
- No strong statistical edge
- Market has already priced much of the edge
- Validation pending
Market Compatibility
100/100
Betting Confidence
59/100
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
Pending
AI Fair Odds
—
CLV
Pending
Final Result
Tainan City win · Tainan City 4–0 Ming Chuan University
Prediction
✔ Correct
Decision Grade
B-
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Review FAQ
- How accurate was the prediction?
- This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
- What does xG Accuracy measure?
- xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
- Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
- Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
- Does this improve the AI record?
- Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.
Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Taiwan Football Premier League — Standings
| # | TEAM | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tainan City | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 41 |
| 2 | Hang Yuen | 21 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 41 |
| 3 | AC Taipei | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 39 |
| 4 | Taichung Futuro | 21 | 12 | 1 | 8 | 37 |
| 5 | Taichung Rock FC | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 30 |
| 6 | Tatung | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 24 |
| 7 | Taipower | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 20 |
| 8 | Ming Chuan University | 21 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 4 |
| # | TEAM | MP | GS | GC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tainan City | 21 | 44 | 21 | +23 | 41 |
| 2 | Taichung Futuro | 21 | 36 | 22 | +14 | 37 |
| 3 | Hang Yuen | 21 | 35 | 15 | +20 | 41 |
| 4 | AC Taipei | 21 | 29 | 22 | +7 | 39 |
| 5 | Taichung Rock FC | 21 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 30 |
| 6 | Tatung | 21 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
| 7 | Taipower | 21 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 20 |
| 8 | Ming Chuan University | 21 | 14 | 69 | -55 | 4 |
