Predictions / Football / England. Non League Div One - Southern South / Winchester City vs Larkhall Athletic

Prediction Audit: Winchester City vs Larkhall Athletic Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Winchester City Winchester City
Mar 14, 2026 - 14:00
0 1.45
2 1.25
xG Accuracy: 55%
Larkhall Athletic Larkhall Athletic

The model missed the final outcome (Larkhall Athletic win 0–2).

The model had projected Winchester City at 41.8%, but the full-time result went the other way.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade F

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Winchester City Larkhall Athletic ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 1-2 0-2 ✖ Incorrect

Post Match Insights

What failed

  • Both Teams To Score: model leaned BTTS Yes; match finished BTTS No
  • Over / Under 2.5: model leaned Over 2.5; match finished Under 2.5 (2 goals)

Market lesson

The full-time result was Larkhall Athletic win 0–2, which did not match the model's pre-match lean on 1X2.

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Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. Before kickoff Forecast generated
    • xG · Winchester City 1.45 — Larkhall Athletic 1.25
  2. Mar 14, 2026 · 14:00 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result Larkhall Athletic win · 0–2
  4. FT Prediction missed 1X2 lean did not match full-time result
  5. Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe
Historical Decision No Primary Bet
Outcome Missed
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Evidence ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 23, 2026 · 19:11 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1489457

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Larkhall Athletic win · Winchester City 0–2 Larkhall Athletic
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Related Predictions

See Upcoming Non League Div One - Southern South Matches Track Winchester City Next Match Prediction Track Larkhall Athletic Next Match Prediction View Today's Football Predictions

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Non League Div One - Southern South Non League Div One - Southern South — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Frome Town 42 32 6 4 102
2 Portishead Town 42 30 5 7 95
3 Malvern Town 42 30 5 7 95
4 Winchester City 42 24 10 8 82
5 Shaftesbury Town 42 25 4 13 79
6 Bishop's Cleeve 42 23 9 10 78
7 Hartpury University 42 20 7 15 67
8 Exmouth 42 18 7 17 61
9 Larkhall Athletic 42 18 7 17 61
10 Westbury United 42 17 7 18 58
11 Sporting Club Inkberrow 42 16 7 19 54
12 Didcot Town 42 14 8 20 50
13 Swindon Supermarine 42 13 11 18 50
14 Falmouth Town 42 13 10 19 49
15 Bristol Manor Farm 42 12 12 18 48
16 Bideford 42 13 9 20 48
17 Melksham Town 42 11 12 19 45
18 Mousehole 42 11 13 18 45
19 Willand Rovers 42 11 10 21 43
20 Bashley 42 10 7 25 37
21 Brixham 42 10 6 26 36
22 Tavistock 42 3 4 35 12
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Portishead Town 42 110 37 +73 95
2 Malvern Town 42 103 61 +42 95
3 Frome Town 42 97 32 +65 102
4 Shaftesbury Town 42 96 69 +27 79
5 Winchester City 42 92 52 +40 82
6 Hartpury University 42 83 55 +28 67
7 Bishop's Cleeve 42 77 59 +18 78
8 Larkhall Athletic 42 74 74 0 61
9 Exmouth 42 68 66 +2 61
10 Falmouth Town 42 66 82 -16 49
11 Sporting Club Inkberrow 42 62 76 -14 54
12 Swindon Supermarine 42 61 59 +2 50
13 Bristol Manor Farm 42 57 77 -20 48
14 Bideford 42 55 83 -28 48
15 Mousehole 42 54 64 -10 45
16 Willand Rovers 42 54 74 -20 43
17 Didcot Town 42 53 70 -17 50
18 Bashley 42 49 71 -22 37
19 Brixham 42 47 92 -45 36
20 Westbury United 42 46 49 -3 58
21 Melksham Town 42 45 63 -18 45
22 Tavistock 42 29 113 -84 12