Predictions / Football / England. Non League Div One - Southern South / Swindon Supermarine vs Falmouth Town

Prediction Audit: Swindon Supermarine vs Falmouth Town Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Jan 31, 2026 - 15:00
1.49
1.23

AI Decision

No Primary Bet

Model–Market Alignment: Neutral

  • Direction: Neutral
  • Probability pricing: Tight · 0.0 pp
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Model Calibration Check Within typical league range

Home xG 1.49 · Away xG 1.23 · League avg 1.35 · Peak deviation +10%

Evidence ★★☆☆☆
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Model Signal Strength 43/100
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100
Recommendation No Primary Bet

Swindon Supermarine — prediction review

Moderate scoring expected (ΣxG 2.72). Before kickoff, the model leaned Swindon Supermarine (43.2%) in a relatively balanced match. Model and market both lean Swindon Supermarine with no major conflict. Pre-match verdict at the time: Observe.

Prediction Assessment

Balanced match · Swindon Supermarine 43.2%

Market Direction
No clear directional signal
Prediction Reliability
Limited reliability

The model and market both lean Swindon Supermarine, but neither indicates a dominant favourite. Draw and Falmouth Town remain plausible — this is a relatively open match.

Why?

Model and market both lean Swindon Supermarine with no major conflict.

  • Model: Swindon Supermarine 1.49 xG vs Falmouth Town 1.23 → Swindon Supermarine 43.2%

Compare model lean with current best odds before sizing any bet.

Betting Recommendation

AI MAIN PICK
Winner : Swindon Supermarine

Match Phase: Finished

Decision Lifecycle

Current stage: Closing unavailable

  1. Prediction Generated
  2. Market Compared
    Entry Pending
  3. Validation Passed
  4. Closing Recorded
    Closing Unavailable No complete pre-match closing snapshot
  5. CLV Evaluated
    CLV Pending Requires closing line after full time

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Non League Div One - Southern South Non League Div One - Southern South — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Frome Town 42 32 6 4 102
2 Portishead Town 42 30 5 7 95
3 Malvern Town 42 30 5 7 95
4 Winchester City 42 24 10 8 82
5 Shaftesbury Town 42 25 4 13 79
6 Bishop's Cleeve 42 23 9 10 78
7 Hartpury University 42 20 7 15 67
8 Exmouth 42 18 7 17 61
9 Larkhall Athletic 42 18 7 17 61
10 Westbury United 42 17 7 18 58
11 Sporting Club Inkberrow 42 16 7 19 54
12 Didcot Town 42 14 8 20 50
13 Swindon Supermarine 42 13 11 18 50
14 Falmouth Town 42 13 10 19 49
15 Bristol Manor Farm 42 12 12 18 48
16 Bideford 42 13 9 20 48
17 Melksham Town 42 11 12 19 45
18 Mousehole 42 11 13 18 45
19 Willand Rovers 42 11 10 21 43
20 Bashley 42 10 7 25 37
21 Brixham 42 10 6 26 36
22 Tavistock 42 3 4 35 12
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Portishead Town 42 110 37 +73 95
2 Malvern Town 42 103 61 +42 95
3 Frome Town 42 97 32 +65 102
4 Shaftesbury Town 42 96 69 +27 79
5 Winchester City 42 92 52 +40 82
6 Hartpury University 42 83 55 +28 67
7 Bishop's Cleeve 42 77 59 +18 78
8 Larkhall Athletic 42 74 74 0 61
9 Exmouth 42 68 66 +2 61
10 Falmouth Town 42 66 82 -16 49
11 Sporting Club Inkberrow 42 62 76 -14 54
12 Swindon Supermarine 42 61 59 +2 50
13 Bristol Manor Farm 42 57 77 -20 48
14 Bideford 42 55 83 -28 48
15 Mousehole 42 54 64 -10 45
16 Willand Rovers 42 54 74 -20 43
17 Didcot Town 42 53 70 -17 50
18 Bashley 42 49 71 -22 37
19 Brixham 42 47 92 -45 36
20 Westbury United 42 46 49 -3 58
21 Melksham Town 42 45 63 -18 45
22 Tavistock 42 29 113 -84 12