Predictions / Football / Denmark. Denmark Series - Group 4 / Holstebro vs Viby

Prediction Audit: Holstebro vs Viby Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Holstebro Holstebro
Mar 07, 2026 - 12:00
4 1.49
0 1.23
xG Accuracy: 36%
Viby Viby

AI correctly predicted the Holstebro win.

The match finished 4–0, validating the model's directional assessment.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade B-

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Holstebro Holstebro ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 1-2 4-0 ✖ Incorrect

Post Match Insights

What worked

  • Expected goals projected a high-scoring match (ΣxG 2.72) — 4 goals materialised
  • Over 2.5 goals aligned with the xG profile

What failed

  • Both Teams To Score: model leaned BTTS Yes; match finished BTTS No
  • Exact score: outside the model's top score bins

Market lesson

The model's directional lean matched the full-time result (Holstebro win 4–0).

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Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. Before kickoff Forecast generated
    • xG · Holstebro 1.49 — Viby 1.23
  2. Mar 07, 2026 · 12:00 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result Holstebro win · 4–0
  4. FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
  5. Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe
Historical Decision No Primary Bet
Outcome Validated
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Evidence ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 24, 2026 · 04:24 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1550923

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Holstebro win · Holstebro 4–0 Viby
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Denmark Series - Group 4 Denmark Series - Group 4 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Holstebro 18 14 2 2 44
2 ASA Aarhus 18 12 4 2 40
3 Aarhus Fremad II 18 10 2 6 32
4 Vorup 18 10 2 6 32
5 Hobro II 18 6 5 7 23
6 Fuglebakken KFUM 18 6 3 9 21
7 Viby 18 5 4 9 19
8 Nørresundby 18 4 5 9 17
9 VRI 18 4 3 11 15
10 Aalborg Freja 18 2 4 12 10
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Holstebro 18 54 23 +31 44
2 Aarhus Fremad II 18 48 27 +21 32
3 ASA Aarhus 18 46 18 +28 40
4 Vorup 18 37 24 +13 32
5 Viby 18 29 42 -13 19
6 Hobro II 18 27 35 -8 23
7 Nørresundby 18 27 40 -13 17
8 VRI 18 27 42 -15 15
9 Fuglebakken KFUM 18 25 41 -16 21
10 Aalborg Freja 18 13 41 -28 10