Predictions / Football / Spain. Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 / Real Oviedo II vs Real Ávila

Prediction Audit: Real Oviedo II vs Real Ávila Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Real Oviedo II Real Oviedo II
Mar 15, 2026 - 11:00
0 1.45
2 1.25
xG Accuracy: 55%
Real Ávila Real Ávila

The model missed the final outcome (Real Ávila win 0–2).

The model had projected Real Oviedo II at 41.8%, but the full-time result went the other way.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade F

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Real Oviedo II Real Ávila ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 1-2 0-2 ✖ Incorrect

Post Match Insights

What failed

  • Both Teams To Score: model leaned BTTS Yes; match finished BTTS No
  • Over / Under 2.5: model leaned Over 2.5; match finished Under 2.5 (2 goals)

Market lesson

The full-time result was Real Ávila win 0–2, which did not match the model's pre-match lean on 1X2.

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Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. Before kickoff Forecast generated
    • xG · Real Oviedo II 1.45 — Real Ávila 1.25
  2. Mar 15, 2026 · 11:00 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result Real Ávila win · 0–2
  4. FT Prediction missed 1X2 lean did not match full-time result
  5. Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe
Historical Decision No Primary Bet
Outcome Missed
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Evidence ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 25, 2026 · 19:25 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1753031

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Real Ávila win · Real Oviedo II 0–2 Real Ávila
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Related Predictions

See Upcoming Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 Matches Track Real Oviedo II Next Match Prediction Track Real Ávila Next Match Prediction View Today's Football Predictions

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Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Deportivo La Coruña II 34 21 9 4 72
2 Real Oviedo II 34 16 10 8 58
3 UD Ourense 34 15 10 9 55
4 Numancia 34 14 11 9 53
5 Coruxo 34 15 7 12 52
6 Gimnástica Segoviana 34 14 9 11 51
7 Real Ávila 34 14 8 12 50
8 Salamanca UDS 34 14 8 12 50
9 Racing Santander II 34 11 15 8 48
10 Bergantiños 34 13 9 12 48
11 Atlético Astorga 34 12 9 13 45
12 Marino de Luanco 34 11 12 11 45
13 Real Valladolid II 34 12 9 13 45
14 Langreo 34 11 10 13 43
15 Sarriana 34 11 7 16 40
16 Burgos Promesas 34 8 12 14 36
17 Lealtad 34 7 7 20 28
18 Sámano 34 3 6 25 15
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Racing Santander II 34 63 50 +13 48
2 Deportivo La Coruña II 34 61 20 +41 72
3 Real Valladolid II 34 59 58 +1 45
4 Real Oviedo II 34 50 35 +15 58
5 Real Ávila 34 48 52 -4 50
6 Coruxo 34 46 37 +9 52
7 Numancia 34 44 33 +11 53
8 Bergantiños 34 44 37 +7 48
9 Salamanca UDS 34 43 36 +7 50
10 Sarriana 34 42 42 0 40
11 Atlético Astorga 34 41 43 -2 45
12 UD Ourense 34 40 34 +6 55
13 Burgos Promesas 34 38 55 -17 36
14 Gimnástica Segoviana 34 37 36 +1 51
15 Langreo 34 35 41 -6 43
16 Marino de Luanco 34 31 26 +5 45
17 Lealtad 34 31 54 -23 28
18 Sámano 34 23 87 -64 15
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 Spain. Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 Predictions