Prediction Audit: Taverne vs Collina d'Oro Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

May 02, 2026 - 15:00
1 1.45
0 1.25
xG Accuracy: 63%

AI correctly predicted the Taverne win.

The match finished 1–0, validating the model's directional assessment.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade F

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Taverne Taverne ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 1-2 1-0 ✔ Correct

Post Match Insights

What worked

  • Exact score 1–0 fell within the model's highlighted bins

What failed

  • Both Teams To Score: model leaned BTTS Yes; match finished BTTS No
  • Over / Under 2.5: model leaned Over 2.5; match finished Under 2.5 (1 goals)

Market lesson

The model's directional lean matched the full-time result (Taverne win 1–0).

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Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. Before kickoff Forecast generated
    • xG · Taverne 1.45 — Collina d'Oro 1.25
  2. May 02, 2026 · 15:00 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result Taverne win · 1–0
  4. FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
  5. Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe
Historical Decision No Primary Bet
Outcome Validated
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Evidence ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 10, 2026 · 11:24 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3530440

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Taverne win · Taverne 1–0 Collina d'Oro
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Back to Predictions
1. Liga Classic - Group 3 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 YF Juventus 30 23 4 3 73
2 Tuggen 30 19 4 7 61
3 Taverne 30 18 6 6 60
4 Wettswil-Bonstetten 30 18 5 7 59
5 Dietikon 30 12 8 10 44
6 Freienbach 30 12 7 11 43
7 Baden 30 11 8 11 41
8 Mendrisio 30 11 7 12 40
9 Winterthur II 30 10 9 11 39
10 Collina d'Oro 30 10 9 11 39
11 Kosova 30 9 9 12 36
12 St. Gallen II 30 9 5 16 35
13 Eschen / Mauren 30 7 11 12 32
14 Widnau 30 7 6 17 27
15 Höngg 30 6 7 17 25
16 SV Schaffhausen 30 3 5 22 14
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 YF Juventus 30 81 26 +55 73
2 Wettswil-Bonstetten 30 74 36 +38 59
3 Tuggen 30 74 52 +22 61
4 Winterthur II 30 61 53 +8 39
5 Baden 30 58 52 +6 41
6 Dietikon 30 54 47 +7 44
7 Kosova 30 54 55 -1 36
8 Taverne 30 53 31 +22 60
9 Freienbach 30 53 53 0 43
10 St. Gallen II 30 47 66 -19 35
11 Collina d'Oro 30 46 44 +2 39
12 Mendrisio 30 42 44 -2 40
13 Eschen / Mauren 30 35 51 -16 32
14 Widnau 30 34 63 -29 27
15 Höngg 30 32 62 -30 25
16 SV Schaffhausen 30 24 87 -63 14