Predictions / Football / Switzerland. 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 / La Chaux-de-Fonds vs Monthey

Prediction Audit: La Chaux-de-Fonds vs Monthey Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

La Chaux-de-Fonds La Chaux-de-Fonds
Apr 18, 2026 - 15:00
2 1.45
4 1.25
xG Accuracy: 40%
Monthey Monthey

The model missed the final outcome (Monthey win 2–4).

The model had projected La Chaux-de-Fonds at 41.8%, but the full-time result went the other way.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade C

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 La Chaux-de-Fonds Monthey ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 1-2 2-4 ✖ Incorrect

Post Match Insights

What worked

  • Expected goals projected a high-scoring match (ΣxG 2.70) — 6 goals materialised
  • Both Teams To Score (Yes) matched the full-time result
  • Over 2.5 goals aligned with the xG profile

What failed

  • 1X2: model leaned La Chaux-de-Fonds; match finished Monthey
  • Exact score: outside the model's top score bins

Market lesson

The full-time result was Monthey win 2–4, which did not match the model's pre-match lean on 1X2.

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Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. Before kickoff Forecast generated
    • xG · La Chaux-de-Fonds 1.45 — Monthey 1.25
  2. Apr 18, 2026 · 15:00 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result Monthey win · 2–4
  4. FT Prediction missed 1X2 lean did not match full-time result
  5. Archived Prediction review

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: Observe
Historical Decision No Primary Bet
Outcome Missed
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Evidence ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 25, 2026 · 01:17 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1664733

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Monthey win · La Chaux-de-Fonds 2–4 Monthey
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Related Predictions

See Upcoming 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 Matches Track La Chaux-de-Fonds Next Match Prediction Track Monthey Next Match Prediction View Today's Football Predictions

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Back to Predictions
1. Liga Classic - Group 1 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Servette II 30 19 4 7 61
2 Amical Saint-Prex 30 18 3 9 57
3 Chênois 30 14 11 5 53
4 Monthey 30 14 8 8 50
5 Prishtina Bern 30 15 5 10 50
6 Portalban / Gletterens 30 11 10 9 43
7 Lancy 30 12 5 13 41
8 Echallens 30 12 4 14 40
9 Naters 30 10 8 12 38
10 Stade Payerne 30 10 8 12 38
11 Meyrin 30 11 4 15 37
12 Coffrane 30 9 8 13 35
13 Sion II 30 9 7 14 34
14 La Chaux-de-Fonds 30 9 4 17 31
15 Martigny Sports 30 7 9 14 30
16 La Sarraz-Eclépens 30 7 8 15 29
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Servette II 30 82 33 +49 61
2 Monthey 30 63 49 +14 50
3 Amical Saint-Prex 30 62 44 +18 57
4 Prishtina Bern 30 57 46 +11 50
5 Naters 30 57 61 -4 38
6 Chênois 30 56 41 +15 53
7 Echallens 30 52 61 -9 40
8 Lancy 30 50 51 -1 41
9 Meyrin 30 46 52 -6 37
10 Coffrane 30 45 59 -14 35
11 Sion II 30 44 49 -5 34
12 La Sarraz-Eclépens 30 44 68 -24 29
13 Martigny Sports 30 43 59 -16 30
14 La Chaux-de-Fonds 30 43 61 -18 31
15 Stade Payerne 30 41 48 -7 38
16 Portalban / Gletterens 30 40 43 -3 43
1. Liga Classic - Group 1 Switzerland. 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 Predictions